Fiorentina vs Benevento
Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento · Capacity 17,554 · grass
Match events
- 2'Albert Gudmundsson (A. Atta)
- 35'Moise Kean (Joao Mario)
- 46'Joao Mario (Dodô)
- 48'Luca Ranieri (Radu Drăguşin)
- 51'Cher Ndour (M. Brescianini)
- 54'D. Lamesta
- 55'A. Prisco (Simone Verdi)
- 55'A. Talia (C. Kouan)
- 55'M. Giugliano (David Okereke)
- 57'Albert Gudmundsson (F. Mastantuono)
- 58'N. Fagioli (Christ Inao Oulaï)
- 65'A. Atta (Federico Croci)
- 70'Christ Inao Oulaï
- 77'Leonardo Sernicola (E. Pierozzi)
- 77'F. Salvemini (G. Mignani)
- 87'Radu Drăguşin (Marin Pongračić)
- 90+2'Pietro Beruatto
Lineups
- 0.7
- Goals/game
- 1.6
- 1.1
- Conceded/game
- 2.1
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests that Fiorentina has a strong historical advantage over Benevento, remaining unbeaten in their last five encounters. With Benevento conceding an average of 2.1 goals per game recently, and Fiorentina's sturdy defense allowing only 0.8 goals per game, the numbers favor a home victory.
- Fiorentina unbeaten in last 5 matches against Benevento
- Benevento concedes an average of 2.1 goals per game in last 10 matches
- Fiorentina's defense has allowed just 0.8 goals per game in last 5 matches
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Fiorentina
- Tighter defenseFiorentina
Fiorentina are conceding just 1.1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.1/game conceded - Historical edgeFiorentina
Fiorentina have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
4/5 H2H wins - Poor recent formBenevento
Benevento have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Sharper attackBenevento
Benevento are averaging 1.6 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.6/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Fiorentina at 77% — final result was Fiorentina win, Fiorentina 4-1 Benevento.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (87/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Fiorentina have averaged 0.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Benevento have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 2 of the last 5 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Fiorentina
Benevento
More Coppa Italia predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Fiorentina vs Benevento?+
Our AI model favors Fiorentina to win, with a 77% probability (Draw 15%, Benevento 8%).
Where is Fiorentina vs Benevento played?+
The match is played at Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento (capacity 17,554).
What time does Fiorentina vs Benevento kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 14, 2026, 7:15 PM (your local time, based on your device).