FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
Value found
+17.2% edgeHapoel Beer Sheva win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Match events
- 22'I. Rotman
- 46'J. Enem (Marko Arnautović)
- 46'T. Elšnik (Mohammad Abu Fani)
- 57'D. Stankovic
- 61'Igor Zlatanović (Javon East)
- 63'V. Kostov (M. Ivanic)
- 64'D. Stankovic
- 64'Lucas Ventura
- 66'N. Yehoshua (M. Abu Rumi)
- 66'Guy Mizrahi (Hamode Kanaan)
- 74'O. Bukari (M. Cham)
- 76'Igor Zlatanović (D. T. Diop)
- 79'Javon East (Eliel Peretz)
- 80'N. Tiknizyan (Aleksandar Katai)
- 90+2'Pedro Amador (Ofir Davidzada)
- 90+2'Javon East (A. Ohana)
- 90+3'Mohammad Abu Fani
Lineups
- 1.9
- Goals/game
- 2.0
- 1.2
- Conceded/game
- 2.0
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
The data suggests that Guildford, with their recent form showing two wins at home and an average of 2 goals scored per game, is well-positioned for this matchup. In contrast, Trier's defensive struggles, as indicated by an average of 1.3 goals conceded over their last 10 matches, may pose challenges. With Guildford also enjoying an unbeaten run at home, they appear favored to secure a victory.
- Guildford unbeaten in last 5 home matches
- Trier has conceded an average of 1.3 goals per game in last 10 matches
- Guildford averages 2 goals scored per match over last 10 matches
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors FK Crvena Zvezda
- Good recent formFK Crvena Zvezda
FK Crvena Zvezda have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Poor recent formHapoel Beer Sheva
Hapoel Beer Sheva have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Sharper attackHapoel Beer Sheva
Hapoel Beer Sheva are averaging 2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2/game - Tighter defenseFK Crvena Zvezda
FK Crvena Zvezda are conceding just 1.2 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.2/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked FK Crvena Zvezda at 76% — final result was Hapoel Beer Sheva win, FK Crvena Zvezda 0-2 Hapoel Beer Sheva.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (80/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- FK Crvena Zvezda have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Hapoel Beer Sheva have averaged 2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
G. Nyberg
Based on 17 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
FK Crvena Zvezda
Hapoel Beer Sheva
More UEFA Champions League predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?+
Our AI model favors FK Crvena Zvezda to win, with a 76% probability (Draw 14%, Hapoel Beer Sheva 10%).
What time does FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 11, 2026, 6:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).