FK Tobol Kostanay vs Kaisar

Premier League· Regular Season - 21
WDLWGoals 16-117th in league
DDLLGoals 9-1713th in league
Home7W 2D 1L(18-11)
Away2W 3D 5L(8-15)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 4'M. Myakish (A. Tagybergen)
  2. 13'A. Mukhammed (N. Idrisov)
  3. 29'A. Marochkin (A. Tagybergen)
  4. 43'M. Myakish
  5. 46'S. Zhumabekov (N. Zhaksylyk)
  6. 46'A. Tolegenov (N. Cuckić)
  7. 48'A. Mukhammed
  8. 57'A. Tagybergen
  9. 62'A. Mukhammed (R. Bagdat)
  10. 70'U. Milovanovic
  11. 71'B. Konlimkos (Gustavo Zago)
  12. 79'A. Bakitzhanov (A. Zuev)
  13. 80'Agostinho (I. Ezekiel)
  14. 81'Klaidher
  15. 83'V. Lisakovich (A. Zinadin)

Lineups

FK Tobol KostanayKaisar
1.6
Goals/game
0.9
1.1
Conceded/game
1.7

AI match analysis

FK Tobol Kostanay win
56%
Draw
24%
Kaisar win
20%
51.1%BTTS
49.4%Over 2.5
36.8%FK Tobol Kostanay clean sheet
19.2%Kaisar clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests a competitive match but heavily favors FK Tobol Kostanay, who have a strong home record and are in better recent form compared to Kaisar. Kaisar's struggles away and lack of wins in their last five matches may hinder their performance. The historical head-to-head results also support a slight advantage for FK Tobol.

  • FK Tobol Kostanay has won 6 of their 9 home matches this season
  • Kaisar has not won in their last 5 matches, with 4 losses
  • FK Tobol's recent form includes 3 wins out of their last 5 matches
  • Historically, FK Tobol Kostanay has a slight edge in head-to-head encounters against Kaisar.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
93/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors FK Tobol Kostanay

  • Good recent formFK Tobol Kostanay

    FK Tobol Kostanay have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L
  • Poor recent formKaisar

    Kaisar have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    0W 2D 3L
  • Strong home recordFK Tobol Kostanay

    FK Tobol Kostanay have won 7 of their last 10 home matches.

    7/10 home wins
  • Weak away recordKaisar

    Kaisar have won 2 of their last 10 away matches.

    2/10 away wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked FK Tobol Kostanay at 56% — final result was FK Tobol Kostanay win, FK Tobol Kostanay 3-2 Kaisar.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (93/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

FK Tobol Kostanay1.60market 62.5% · model 56%
Draw3.70market 27% · model 24%
Kaisar4.83market 20.7% · model 20%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • FK Tobol Kostanay have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Kaisar have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3FK Tobol Kostanay wins
1Draws
4Kaisar wins
7-9Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

FK Tobol Kostanay1.60best 1.63
Draw3.70best 3.85
Kaisar4.83best 5.32

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.81best 1.88
Under 2.51.93best 1.96

Both teams to score

Yes1.80best 1.83
No1.86best 1.91

Double chance

FK Tobol Kostanay/Draw1.13best 1.16
FK Tobol Kostanay/Kaisar1.21best 1.25
Draw/Kaisar2.16best 2.27

Average and best price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

FK Tobol Kostanay1.60
Draw3.70 0.03
Kaisar4.83 0.04
24 Aug25 Aug

Model vs market

FK Tobol Kostanay win-0.7pp
AI
56%
Market
56.7%
Draw-0.5pp
AI
24%
Market
24.5%
Kaisar win+1.2pp
AI
20%
Market
18.8%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
7
FK Tobol Kostanay
228410-428WLWD
13
Kaisar
223118-920LDDL

Pre-match comparison

1.6Goals scored per game0.9
1.1Goals conceded per game1.7

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

S. Karabaev

5Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0.67Penalties scored / game

Based on 3 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

FK Tobol Kostanay

0-15'
25%
16-30'
25%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
25%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
25%

Kaisar

0-15'
50%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
50%
76-90+'
0%

More Premier League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win FK Tobol Kostanay vs Kaisar?+

Our AI model favors FK Tobol Kostanay to win, with a 56% probability (Draw 24%, Kaisar 20%).

What time does FK Tobol Kostanay vs Kaisar kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 25, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).