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FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Banga

A Lyga· Regular Season - 27
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2–3Full-time
Banga
WLLWGoals 17-124th in league
WDLDGoals 14-115th in league
Home6W 1D 5L(23-18)
Away6W 4D 4L(15-10)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 25'J. Simao
  2. 33'Y. Kendysh (S. Bilenkyi)
  3. 35'I. Venckus (V. Magdusauskas)
  4. 41'G. Turda
  5. 54'V. Magdusauskas (I. Venckus)
  6. 56'N. Mihajlović (M. Vareika)
  7. 56'P. Golubickas (M. Vareika)
  8. 56'N. Mihajlović (N. Petković)
  9. 56'P. Golubickas (N. Petković)
  10. 66'R. Filipavicius (V. Magdusauskas)
  11. 70'K. Upstas (M. Setkus)
  12. 70'I. Lytvynenko (M. Capan)
  13. 76'M. Vareika
  14. 77'I. Venckus (A. Appiah)
  15. 77'P. Olugbogi (U. Cande)
  16. 78'M. Capan
  17. 85'R. Filipavicius (D. Norvilas)
  18. 85'R. Filipavicius (M. Sheriff)
  19. 86'V. Magdusauskas (M. Sheriff)
  20. 86'V. Magdusauskas (A. Appiah)
  21. 86'V. Magdusauskas (D. Norvilas)
  22. 90+1'M. Vareika
  23. 90+1'M. Sato (D. Vaicekauskas)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
FK Zalgiris VilniusBanga
1.7
Goals/game
1.4
1.2
Conceded/game
1.1

AI match analysis

FK Zalgiris Vilnius win
43.73%
Draw
27.03%
Banga win
29.24%
54.8%BTTS
50.6%Over 2.5
27.3%FK Zalgiris Vilnius clean sheet
24.7%Banga clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests that FK Zalgiris Vilnius has a slight advantage based on their recent form and historical performance against Banga. Zalgiris has secured three wins in their last five matches, while Banga has shown some strength but also vulnerabilities in defense. The head-to-head record favors Zalgiris, indicating a possible outcome of 2-1 in their favor.

  • FK Zalgiris Vilnius recently earned three wins in their last five games
  • Banga's recent form includes three wins but a tendency to concede goals
  • Historically, Zalgiris has had the upper hand in their recent head-to-head matchups
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
79/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors FK Zalgiris Vilnius

  • Historical edgeFK Zalgiris Vilnius

    FK Zalgiris Vilnius have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    5/8 H2H wins
  • Good recent formFK Zalgiris Vilnius

    FK Zalgiris Vilnius have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Strong home recordFK Zalgiris Vilnius

    FK Zalgiris Vilnius have won 6 of their last 12 home matches.

    6/12 home wins
  • Strong away recordBanga

    Banga have won 6 of their last 14 away matches.

    6/14 away wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 44% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked FK Zalgiris Vilnius at 43.73% — final result was Banga win, FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2-3 Banga.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (79/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

FK Zalgiris Vilnius2.04market 49% · model 43.73%
Banga ✓3.05market 32.8% · model 29.24%
Draw3.36market 29.8% · model 27.03%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • FK Zalgiris Vilnius have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Banga have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

5FK Zalgiris Vilnius wins
2Draws
1Banga wins
14-7Goals
Banga
0–2Sep 13, 2025, 2:00 PM
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1–0Jul 4, 2025, 4:00 PM
Banga
Banga
2–0May 3, 2025, 2:00 PM
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1–1Mar 15, 2025, 3:00 PM
Banga
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2–1Sep 1, 2024, 1:00 PM
Banga
Banga
0–2Jun 26, 2024, 4:00 PM
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2–2May 1, 2024, 2:00 PM
Banga
Banga
1–4Mar 13, 2024, 4:00 PM
FK Zalgiris Vilnius

Odds comparison

Match winner

FK Zalgiris Vilnius2.04▲best 2.12
Draw3.36▼best 3.60
Banga3.05▼best 3.20

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.63▼best 1.69
Under 2.52.09▲best 2.25

Both teams to score

Yes1.55▼best 1.62
No2.22▲best 2.32

Double chance

FK Zalgiris Vilnius/Draw1.27▲best 1.33
FK Zalgiris Vilnius/Banga1.22▲best 1.30
Draw/Banga1.66▼best 1.80

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.00▲best 3.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.36▼best 1.36
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.50▲best 4.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.17▼best 1.17

Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

FK Zalgiris Vilnius2.04▲ 0.16
Draw3.36▲ 0.11
Banga3.04▼ 0.46
15 Aug – 16 Aug

Model vs market

FK Zalgiris Vilnius win-0.2pp
AI
43.73%
Market
43.9%
Draw+0.3pp
AI
27.03%
Market
26.7%
Banga win-0.2pp
AI
29.24%
Market
29.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
4
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
231148+1037LWWW
5
Banga
241077+737WLWL

Pre-match comparison

1.7Goals scored per game1.4
1.2Goals conceded per game1.1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

M. Lukjancukas

2Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 2 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
100%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Banga

0-15'
0%
16-30'
50%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
50%
76-90+'
0%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Banga?+

Our AI model favors FK Zalgiris Vilnius to win, with a 43.73% probability (Draw 27.03%, Banga 29.24%).

What time does FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Banga kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 4:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).