FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Džiugas Telšiai
Value found
+0.5% edgeDžiugas Telšiai win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Match events
- 18'M. Vareika
- 23'J. Kendysh
- 41'Substitution 1 (D. Vinckus)
- 41'Andrezinho (D. Vinckus)
- 59'I. Lytvynenko
- 60'V. Piliukaitis (I. E. Scotto)
- 60'B. Asomugha (V. Vermeulen)
- 66'D. Šešplaukis
- 73'D. Šešplaukis (S. Mamatsashvili)
- 73'R. Sobowale (D. Zevzikovas)
- 73'B. Sane (M. Rutkovskis)
- 86'P. Golubickas
- 86'V. Vermeulen
- 86'V. Vermeulen
- 1.7
- Goals/game
- 1.5
- 1.5
- Conceded/game
- 2.0
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests that FK Zalgiris Vilnius has a favorable historical record against Džiugas Telšiai, winning 2 of the last 5 encounters. Džiugas Telšiai struggles away from home with just 4 wins in 11 matches this season, which may expose them to defeat against Zalgiris, who average 1.7 goals scored per game recently.
- FK Zalgiris Vilnius has won 2 of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Džiugas Telšiai.
- Džiugas Telšiai's away record shows 5 matches without a win, indicating vulnerability on the road.
- FK Zalgiris Vilnius has a scoring average of 1.7 goals per match over their last 10 games, suggesting offensive capabilities.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors FK Zalgiris Vilnius
- Tighter defenseFK Zalgiris Vilnius
FK Zalgiris Vilnius are conceding just 1.5 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.5/game conceded - Historical edgeFK Zalgiris Vilnius
FK Zalgiris Vilnius have won 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
6/8 H2H wins - Higher league positionFK Zalgiris Vilnius
FK Zalgiris Vilnius sit 2 places above Džiugas Telšiai in the table.
#4 vs #6 - Poor recent formFK Zalgiris Vilnius
FK Zalgiris Vilnius have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked FK Zalgiris Vilnius at 63% — final result was FK Zalgiris Vilnius win, FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2-0 Džiugas Telšiai.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- FK Zalgiris Vilnius have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Džiugas Telšiai have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | +10 | 37 | LWWW | |
| 6 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | +3 | 37 | LWDL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Džiugas Telšiai
More A Lyga predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Džiugas Telšiai?+
Our AI model favors FK Zalgiris Vilnius to win, with a 63% probability (Draw 21%, Džiugas Telšiai 16%).
What time does FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Džiugas Telšiai kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 4:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).

