Fram Reykjavik vs Stjarnan

Úrvalsdeild· Regular Season - 19
DWLWGoals 19-223rd in league
DLWWGoals 19-167th in league
Home6W 2D 2L(29-22)
Away3W 2D 5L(17-26)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 12'R. Hauksson (Fred Saraiva)
  2. 34'E. Atlason (J. Gunnarsson)
  3. 38'V. Dimitrijevic
  4. 39'R. Hauksson (V. Dimitrijevic)
  5. 51'Fred Saraiva (M. Aegisson)
  6. 62'M. Aegisson (V. Dimitrijevic)
  7. 63'I. Turay (S. T. Ingimarsson)
  8. 63'A. Leifsson (B. Ingason)
  9. 73'B. Hauksson
  10. 76'F. Sigurdsson (Israel García)
  11. 77'E. Atlason (A. Bjarnason)
  12. 77'O. Eggertsson (A. Vilhjálmsson)
  13. 77'G. Nokkvason (A. Hauksson)
  14. 79'J. Gunnarsson
  15. 84'H. Asgrimsson
  16. 88'R. Hauksson (J. Bystrom)
  17. 88'V. Dimitrijevic (B. Runolfsson)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Fram ReykjavikStjarnan
1.9
Goals/game
1.9
2.2
Conceded/game
1.6

AI match analysis

Fram Reykjavik win
44%
Draw
23%
Stjarnan win
33%
72%BTTS
73.1%Over 2.5
12.9%Fram Reykjavik clean sheet
17.4%Stjarnan clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

The data suggests a competitive matchup, with Fram Reykjavik showing strength at home, remaining unbeaten in their last three home fixtures. Stjarnan's recent away form appears concerning, having lost three of their last four games on the road. Although past encounters between the two have been tight, Fram's slight edge in home performance may favor them in this contest.

  • Fram unbeaten in last 3 home games
  • Stjarnan has lost 3 of their last 4 away matches
  • Recent head-to-head matchups have seen two draws in the last three encounters
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
76/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Fram Reykjavik

  • Strong home recordFram Reykjavik

    Fram Reykjavik have won 6 of their last 10 home matches.

    6/10 home wins
  • Weak away recordStjarnan

    Stjarnan have won 3 of their last 10 away matches.

    3/10 away wins
  • Tighter defenseStjarnan

    Stjarnan are conceding just 1.6 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.6/game conceded
  • Historical edgeStjarnan

    Stjarnan have won 2 of the last 7 meetings between these two teams.

    2/7 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 44% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Fram Reykjavik at 44% — final result was Fram Reykjavik win, Fram Reykjavik 3-1 Stjarnan.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (76/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Fram Reykjavik2.09market 47.9% · model 44%
Stjarnan2.74market 36.5% · model 33%
Draw3.88market 25.8% · model 23%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Fram Reykjavik have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Stjarnan have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 7 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of the last 7 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

1Fram Reykjavik wins
4Draws
2Stjarnan wins
7-12Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Fram Reykjavik2.09best 2.18
Draw3.88best 4.19
Stjarnan2.74best 2.90

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.25best 1.29
Under 2.53.43best 3.80

Both teams to score

Yes1.26best 1.29
No3.38best 3.80

Double chance

Fram Reykjavik/Draw1.37best 1.44
Fram Reykjavik/Stjarnan1.19best 1.25
Draw/Stjarnan1.66best 1.87

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.07best 1.07
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes5.00best 5.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.14best 1.14
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes7.50best 7.50

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Fram Reykjavik2.09 0.24
Draw3.88 0.08
Stjarnan2.74 0.36
15 Aug17 Aug

Model vs market

Fram Reykjavik win+0.5pp
AI
44%
Market
43.5%
Draw-0.4pp
AI
23%
Market
23.4%
Stjarnan win-0.1pp
AI
33%
Market
33.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
3
Fram Reykjavik
201343+1443WLWD
7
Stjarnan
207310-1024LWWL

Pre-match comparison

1.9Goals scored per game1.9
2.2Goals conceded per game1.6

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Fram Reykjavik

0-15'
16.7%
16-30'
16.7%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
16.7%
76-90+'
0%

Stjarnan

0-15'
28.6%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
28.6%
46-60'
14.3%
61-75'
28.6%
76-90+'
0%

More Úrvalsdeild predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Fram Reykjavik vs Stjarnan?+

Our AI model favors Fram Reykjavik to win, with a 44% probability (Draw 23%, Stjarnan 33%).

What time does Fram Reykjavik vs Stjarnan kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 17, 2026, 7:15 PM (your local time, based on your device).