Frederikssund vs Sundby

DBU Pokalen· Round of 64
Frederikssund
23After Extra Time
Sundby
LLWLGoals 20-16
LLLDGoals 17-22
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time
Lineups unavailable for this match.
FrederikssundSundby
2.9
Goals/game
2.1
2.3
Conceded/game
2.8

AI match analysis

Frederikssund win
27%
Draw
25%
Sundby win
48%
83.6%BTTS
87.6%Over 2.5
11%Frederikssund clean sheet
6.1%Sundby clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-3

The data suggests Frederikssund struggles defensively, having conceded a high average of goals in recent matches while also facing multiple losses. On the other hand, Sundby has shown volatility in their results but tends to score more consistently, leading to higher average goals conceded. Historically, the numbers favor Sundby based on their recent performance, yielding a predicted scoreline of 3-2 in favor of the away team.

  • Frederikssund has lost 4 out of their last 5 matches.
  • Sundby is averaging 2.75 goals conceded per match over their last 8 matches.
  • Frederikssund scored an average of 2.86 goals in their last 7 matches.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
64/100

Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Sundby

  • Sharper attackFrederikssund

    Frederikssund are averaging 2.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2.9/game
  • Poor recent formFrederikssund

    Frederikssund have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Poor recent formSundby

    Sundby have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 1D 3L
  • Tighter defenseFrederikssund

    Frederikssund are conceding just 2.3 goals per game over their recent matches.

    2.3/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pick✓ Exact score

We picked Sundby at 48% — final result was Sundby win, Frederikssund 2-3 Sundby.

Predicted score was 2-3.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (64/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Sundby1.90market 52.6% · model 48%
Frederikssund3.43market 29.2% · model 27%
Draw3.66market 27.3% · model 25%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Frederikssund have averaged 2.9 goals scored per game over their last 7 matches.
  • Sundby have averaged 2.1 goals scored per game over their last 8 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Frederikssund3.43best 3.45
Draw3.66best 3.70
Sundby1.90best 1.95

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.56best 1.56
Under 2.52.18best 2.18

Both teams to score

Yes1.53best 1.53
No2.28best 2.28

Double chance

Frederikssund/Draw1.76best 1.77
Frederikssund/Sundby1.21best 1.23
Draw/Sundby1.23best 1.26

Average and best price across 4 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Model vs market

Frederikssund win+0.2pp
AI
27%
Market
26.8%
Draw0pp
AI
25%
Market
25%
Sundby win-0.2pp
AI
48%
Market
48.2%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

2.86Goals scored per game2.13
2.29Goals conceded per game2.75

Rolling averages based on each team's last 7 and 8 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

More DBU Pokalen predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Frederikssund vs Sundby?+

Our AI model favors Sundby to win, with a 48% probability (Draw 25%, Frederikssund 27%).

What time does Frederikssund vs Sundby kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 25, 2026, 3:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).