Fredrikstad vs Kristiansund BK

Eliteserien· Regular Season - 18
LLWWGoals 18-118th in league
LLWWGoals 15-1814th in league
Home5W 1D 2L(11-8)
Away1W 1D 7L(5-16)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 4'O. Øhlenschlæger
  2. 38'Heine Gikling Bruseth
  3. 44'S. Holm
  4. 46'F. Holme (Benjamin Thoresen Faraas)
  5. 54'Wilfred Igor
  6. 56'O. Øhlenschlæger (J. Jezierski)
  7. 56'G. Wesseh (S. Laghzaoui)
  8. 63'S. Kilen (Zymer Bytyqi)
  9. 69'H. Haugen (F. Flex)
  10. 69'A. Ronning (S. Skeide)
  11. 76'Isak Helstad Amundsen (Solomon Owusu)
  12. 87'Wilfred Igor (Max Normann Williamsen)
  13. 90+2'L. Alvheim

Lineups

FredrikstadKristiansund BK
1.8
Goals/game
1.5
1.1
Conceded/game
1.8

AI match analysis

Fredrikstad win
52%
Draw
25%
Kristiansund BK win
23%
60.7%BTTS
59.9%Over 2.5
27.3%Fredrikstad clean sheet
16.5%Kristiansund BK clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Statistical trends suggest that Fredrikstad holds an advantage, historically winning 3 out of the last 4 encounters against Kristiansund BK. Current form also favors the home side, as Fredrikstad has secured 2 wins in their last 5, while Kristiansund has struggled, managing only 1 win in the same timeframe.

  • Fredrikstad has won 3 of the last 4 meetings against Kristiansund BK
  • Kristiansund BK has only 1 away win this season from 8 matches
  • Fredrikstad is in better recent form with 2 wins in the last 5 matches compared to Kristiansund's 1 win
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
89/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Fredrikstad

  • Strong home recordFredrikstad

    Fredrikstad have won 5 of their last 8 home matches.

    5/8 home wins
  • Weak away recordKristiansund BK

    Kristiansund BK have won 1 of their last 9 away matches.

    1/9 away wins
  • Good recent formFredrikstad

    Fredrikstad have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Good recent formKristiansund BK

    Kristiansund BK have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Fredrikstad at 52% — final result was Fredrikstad win, Fredrikstad 1-0 Kristiansund BK.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (89/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Fredrikstad1.85market 54.1% · model 52%
Draw3.64market 27.4% · model 25%
Kristiansund BK3.93market 25.5% · model 23%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Fredrikstad have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Kristiansund BK have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

2Fredrikstad wins
1Draws
1Kristiansund BK wins
6-5Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Fredrikstad1.85best 1.90
Draw3.64best 3.87
Kristiansund BK3.93best 4.18

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.70best 1.74
Under 2.52.10best 2.17

Both teams to score

Yes1.63best 1.67
No2.14best 2.20

Double chance

Fredrikstad/Draw1.24best 1.27
Fredrikstad/Kristiansund BK1.26best 1.29
Draw/Kristiansund BK1.90best 1.99

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes5.50best 5.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.14best 1.14
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.75best 2.75
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.40best 1.40

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Fredrikstad1.85
Draw3.64 0.04
Kristiansund BK3.93 0.10
13 Aug16 Aug

Model vs market

Fredrikstad win+1.4pp
AI
52%
Market
50.6%
Draw-0.6pp
AI
25%
Market
25.6%
Kristiansund BK win-0.8pp
AI
23%
Market
23.8%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
8
Fredrikstad
17728-923WWLL
14
Kristiansund BK
174310-1215WLLD

Pre-match comparison

1.8Goals scored per game1.5
1.1Goals conceded per game1.8

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Fredrikstad

0-15'
12.5%
16-30'
25%
31-45'
12.5%
46-60'
12.5%
61-75'
12.5%
76-90+'
25%

Kristiansund BK

0-15'
0%
16-30'
25%
31-45'
12.5%
46-60'
12.5%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
50%

More Eliteserien predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Fredrikstad vs Kristiansund BK?+

Our AI model favors Fredrikstad to win, with a 52% probability (Draw 25%, Kristiansund BK 23%).

What time does Fredrikstad vs Kristiansund BK kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 5:15 PM (your local time, based on your device).