Frosinone vs Juve Stabia

Coppa Italia· Round of 64
Frosinone
41Full-time
Juve Stabia
WWLLGoals 20-7
WDLLGoals 10-12
Stadio Benito Stirpe

Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone · Capacity 16,310 · grass · Referee: M. Di Loreto

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 21'Giorgi Kvernadze (F. Ghedjemis)
  2. 28'K. Piscopo
  3. 30'M. Cichella (Giorgi Kvernadze)
  4. 38'G. Scuderi
  5. 38'Antonio Raimondo
  6. 45'Romano Schmid
  7. 46'F. Ghedjemis (A. Zerbin)
  8. 48'L. Candellone (N. Patane)
  9. 55'Romano Schmid (Ilias Koutsoupias)
  10. 66'Thomas Battistella (Justin Kumi)
  11. 67'K. Piscopo (S. Fernandes)
  12. 67'Kevin Akpoguma (G. Bracaglia)
  13. 67'M. Cichella (Patrizio Masini)
  14. 71'Giorgi Kvernadze (Antonio Raimondo)
  15. 76'M. Baldi
  16. 77'L. Candellone (L. Caccavo)
  17. 77'Giacomo Calò (Anouar El Azzouzi)
  18. 77'G. Scuderi (T. Douglas)
  19. 84'N. Patane (T. Maggioni)
  20. 88'S. Fernandes

Lineups

FrosinoneJuve Stabia
2.0
Goals/game
1.0
0.7
Conceded/game
1.2

AI match analysis

Frosinone win
56%
Draw
24%
Juve Stabia win
20%
45.7%BTTS
44.3%Over 2.5
42.7%Frosinone clean sheet
20.2%Juve Stabia clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

The data suggests that Frosinone is in strong form, having secured four wins in their last five matches, including a recent victory over Juve Stabia. Meanwhile, Juve Stabia has struggled to score consistently, averaging only 1.3 goals per game in their last ten matches. This historical head-to-head advantage favors Frosinone, making them likely to edge out the competition in this encounter.

  • Frosinone has won four of their last five matches.
  • Juve Stabia has scored only 1.3 goals per game in their last 10 matches.
  • Frosinone won the last two encounters against Juve Stabia, including their last match 1-0.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
80/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Frosinone

  • Good recent formFrosinone

    Frosinone have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Sharper attackFrosinone

    Frosinone are averaging 2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2/game
  • Historical edgeFrosinone

    Frosinone have won 3 of the last 6 meetings between these two teams.

    3/6 H2H wins
  • Tighter defenseFrosinone

    Frosinone are conceding just 0.7 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.7/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Frosinone at 56% — final result was Frosinone win, Frosinone 4-1 Juve Stabia.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (80/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Frosinone1.69market 59.3% · model 56%
Draw3.79market 26.4% · model 24%
Juve Stabia4.69market 21.3% · model 20%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Frosinone have averaged 2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Juve Stabia have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of the last 6 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

3Frosinone wins
3Draws
0Juve Stabia wins
9-3Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Frosinone1.69best 1.74
Draw3.79best 4.05
Juve Stabia4.69best 5.00

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.80best 1.85
Under 2.51.98best 2.11

Both teams to score

Yes1.76best 1.80
No1.97best 2.01

Double chance

Frosinone/Draw1.16best 1.20
Frosinone/Juve Stabia1.22best 1.25
Draw/Juve Stabia2.11best 2.22

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.15best 1.15
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes5.13best 5.50
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.52best 1.53
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.39best 2.40

Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Frosinone1.69 0.01
Draw3.79 0.09
Juve Stabia4.69 0.14
13 Aug16 Aug

Model vs market

Frosinone win+0.6pp
AI
56%
Market
55.4%
Draw-0.6pp
AI
24%
Market
24.6%
Juve Stabia win+0.1pp
AI
20%
Market
19.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

2Goals scored per game1
0.7Goals conceded per game1.2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

M. Di Loreto

6Yellow cards / game
1Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Frosinone

0-15'
100%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More Coppa Italia predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Frosinone vs Juve Stabia?+

Our AI model favors Frosinone to win, with a 56% probability (Draw 24%, Juve Stabia 20%).

Where is Frosinone vs Juve Stabia played?+

The match is played at Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone (capacity 16,310).

What time does Frosinone vs Juve Stabia kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 4:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).