Fuchse Berlin vs MT Melsungen
Value found
+0.9% edgeDraw
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Score by half
| Team | 1H | 2H | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
 Fuchse Berlin | 17 | 16 | 33 |
 MT Melsungen | 9 | 22 | 31 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 34-28
The data suggests that Fuchse Berlin enters this match in strong form, having won 7 of their last 10 games. The home team also boasts a notable 79% win rate at home this season, indicating a favorable environment for success. Conversely, MT Melsungen's recent history against Fuchse Berlin shows them struggling, with a loss in 3 of their last 5 encounters. Overall, the match appears to favor Fuchse Berlin significantly.
- Fuchse Berlin has won 7 of its last 10 matches.
- Fuchse Berlin has a 79% home win rate this season.
- MT Melsungen has lost 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches against Fuchse Berlin.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Fuchse Berlin
- Sharper attackFuchse Berlin
Fuchse Berlin are averaging 35.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
35.3/game - Higher league positionFuchse Berlin
Fuchse Berlin sit 14 places above MT Melsungen in the table.
#2 vs #16 - Strong home recordFuchse Berlin
Fuchse Berlin have won 15 of their last 20 home matches.
15/20 home wins - Strong away recordMT Melsungen
MT Melsungen have won 9 of their last 20 away matches.
9/20 away wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Fuchse Berlin at 75% — final result was Fuchse Berlin win, Fuchse Berlin 33-31 MT Melsungen.
Predicted score was 34-28.
This was a high confidence pick (97/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Fuchse Berlin have averaged 35.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- MT Melsungen have averaged 29.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Fuchse Berlin are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with MT Melsungen.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Goals spread
| Line | Fuchse Berlin | MT Melsungen |
|---|---|---|
| -5.5 | 2.16▼ | 1.64▲ |
| -5 | 2.33▲ | 1.54▼ |
| -4.5 | 2.10▲ | 1.69▼ |
| -4 | 2.09▲ | 1.67▼ |
| -3.5 | 1.87▲ | 1.86▼ |
| -3 | 1.87▲ | 1.84▼ |
| -2.5 | 1.68▲ | 2.06▼ |
| -2 | 1.57▲ | 2.14▼ |
Total goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 60.5 | 1.64▼ | 2.13▲ |
| 61 | 1.60▼ | 2.17▲ |
| 61.5 | 1.81▼ | 1.91▲ |
| 62 | 1.81▼ | 1.90▲ |
| 62.5 | 2.01▼ | 1.75▲ |
| 63 | 2.06▼ | 1.69▲ |
| 63.5 | 2.25 | 1.56 |
| 64 | 2.25 | 1.51 |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kiel | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 2 | — |
| 2 | Fuchse Berlin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | — |
| 3 |  Flensburg-H. | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | — |
| 4 |  Stuttgart | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | — |
| 5 |  Goppingen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 6 |  Gummersbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 7 |  Hamburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 8 |  SC Magdeburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 9 |  Rhein-Neckar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 10 |  HSG Wetzlar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 11 |  HBW Balingen-Weilstetten | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 12 |  Erlangen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 13 |  Bietigheim-Metterzimmern | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 14 |  Hannover-Burgdorf | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 15 |  Bergischer | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | — |
| 16 | MT Melsungen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | — |
| 17 |  Eisenach | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | — |
| 18 |  Lemgo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8 | 0 | — |
More Bundesliga predictions
GoppingenErlangenGummersbachSC MagdeburgHannover-BurgdorfRhein-NeckarHSG WetzlarBietigheim-MetterzimmernFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Fuchse Berlin vs MT Melsungen?+
Our AI model favors Fuchse Berlin to win, with a 75% probability (MT Melsungen 15%).
What time does Fuchse Berlin vs MT Melsungen kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 27, 2026, 6:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the score by half in Fuchse Berlin vs MT Melsungen?+
Fuchse Berlin: 17-16. MT Melsungen: 9-22. Final: 33-31.