Gais vs Malmo FF

Allsvenskan· Regular Season - 17
Gais
01Full-time
Malmo FF
LWLWGoals 21-910th in league
LLLWGoals 11-177th in league
Home4W 3D 2L(12-4)
Away5W 2D 2L(12-11)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 53'F. Beckman
  2. 57'J. Åberg (H. Sletsjøe)
  3. 57'N. Vasic (S. Salter)
  4. 61'W. Milovanovic
  5. 65'Adrian Skogmar (Theodor Lundbergh)
  6. 65'Diego García (A. Hoog)
  7. 70'M. Andersson (S. Jorgensen)
  8. 70'M. de Brienne (R. Wendin Thomasson)
  9. 74'Malte Palsson (B. Kurtulus)
  10. 81'Theodor Lundbergh
  11. 81'H. Sletsjøe
  12. 81'W. Milovanovic (D. Collander)
  13. 85'Jens Stryger Larsen
  14. 89'Erik Botheim (Anders Christiansen)
  15. 90+1'S. Haksabanovic (Daníel Tristan Gudjohnsen)
  16. 90+1'K. Busuladžić

Lineups

GaisMalmo FF
2.1
Goals/game
1.1
0.9
Conceded/game
1.7

AI match analysis

Gais win
41.87%
Draw
26.27%
Malmo FF win
31.86%
53.8%BTTS
55.4%Over 2.5
36.8%Gais clean sheet
15%Malmo FF clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Data suggests a tightly contested match, with Gais showing resilience at home and Malmo FF struggling significantly in away fixtures. Both teams are currently equal in points and head-to-head history indicates a tendency towards draws. The scoring averages point towards a low-scoring encounter, likely resulting in a 1-1 draw.

  • Gais unbeaten in last 5 home games
  • Malmo FF has lost their last 5 away matches
  • Last 4 head-to-head meetings include 2 draws and 2 wins for Malmo FF
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
75/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Gais

  • Poor recent formMalmo FF

    Malmo FF have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 0D 4L
  • Historical edgeMalmo FF

    Malmo FF have won 2 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams.

    2/4 H2H wins
  • Sharper attackGais

    Gais are averaging 2.1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2.1/game
  • Tighter defenseGais

    Gais are conceding just 0.9 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.9/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 42% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Gais at 41.87% — final result was Malmo FF win, Gais 0-1 Malmo FF.

Predicted score was 1-1.

This was a high confidence pick (75/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Gais2.21market 45.2% · model 41.87%
Malmo FF2.94market 34.1% · model 31.86%
Draw3.51market 28.5% · model 26.27%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Gais have averaged 2.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Malmo FF have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 1 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

0Gais wins
2Draws
2Malmo FF wins
1-3Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Gais2.21best 2.29
Draw3.51best 3.70
Malmo FF2.94best 3.10

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.64best 1.68
Under 2.52.18best 2.25

Both teams to score

Yes1.53best 1.57
No2.32best 2.38

Double chance

Gais/Draw1.36best 1.40
Gais/Malmo FF1.27best 1.30
Draw/Malmo FF1.63best 1.72

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.20best 1.20
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.33best 4.33
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.50best 3.50
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.28best 1.28

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Gais2.21 0.04
Draw3.51 0.05
Malmo FF2.94 0.06
13 Aug16 Aug

Model vs market

Gais win-0.1pp
AI
41.87%
Market
42%
Draw-0.1pp
AI
26.27%
Market
26.4%
Malmo FF win+0.3pp
AI
31.86%
Market
31.6%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
10
Gais
18657+323LWDL
7
Malmo FF
18828+226WLWL

Pre-match comparison

2.1Goals scored per game1.1
0.9Goals conceded per game1.7

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

R. Sundell

4Yellow cards / game
0.25Red cards / game
0.08Penalties scored / game

Based on 12 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Gais

0-15'
25%
16-30'
25%
31-45'
25%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
25%

Malmo FF

0-15'
25%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
25%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
25%
76-90+'
25%

More Allsvenskan predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Gais vs Malmo FF?+

Our AI model favors Gais to win, with a 41.87% probability (Draw 26.27%, Malmo FF 31.86%).

What time does Gais vs Malmo FF kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 2:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).