Gangwon FC vs Gamba Osaka

AFC Champions League Elite· 1st Preliminary Round
Gangwon FC
01After Extra Time
Gamba Osaka
WWLDGoals 8-10
WDLWGoals 18-11

Value found

+2.8% edge

Gangwon FC win

2.67AI fair odds
2.74Bookmaker odds
+2.8%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 6'Takeru Kishimoto
  2. 28'Ryo Hatsuse
  3. 46'Takeru Kishimoto (G. Nawata)
  4. 46'Shinya Nakano (Shogo Sasaki)
  5. 69'Choe Byeong-Chan (Gun-Hee Kim)
  6. 71'Kim Dae-Won
  7. 72'Hong Chul (Shin Min-Ha)
  8. 80'J. Sekidika (A. Hleihel)
  9. 82'D. Hümmet (A. Uenaka)
  10. 89'Lee Gi-Hyuk
  11. 98'Shin Min-Ha
  12. 103'G. Nawata (R. Yamashita)
  13. 106'R. Yamashita (S. Kurata)
  14. 107'Seo Min-Woo (H. Park)
  15. 107'Goh Young-Jun (Lee Ji-Ho)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Gangwon FCGamba Osaka
0.8
Goals/game
1.8
1.0
Conceded/game
1.1

AI match analysis

Gangwon FC win
37.52%
Draw
29.5%
Gamba Osaka win
32.98%
46.2%BTTS
41.7%Over 2.5
24.7%Gangwon FC clean sheet
38.7%Gamba Osaka clean sheet

Predicted score: 0-1

The data suggests a notable contrast in form, with Gangwon FC struggling to find a win in their recent matches and failing to score in several games. Conversely, Gamba Osaka has been more effective in attack, averaging 1.7 goals scored per match over their last 10 games. The numbers favor Gamba Osaka to secure a narrow victory.

  • Gangwon FC has not won in their last 5 matches, with 4 draws and 1 loss.
  • Gamba Osaka has won 4 out of their last 5 matches, showing stronger recent form.
  • Gangwon FC averages only 0.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 38% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pick✓ Exact score

We picked Gangwon FC at 37.52% — final result was Gamba Osaka win, Gangwon FC 0-1 Gamba Osaka.

Predicted score was 0-1.

Closing odds vs. our model

Gamba Osaka2.45market 40.8% · model 32.98%
Gangwon FC2.74market 36.5% · model 37.52%
Draw3.16market 31.7% · model 29.5%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Gangwon FC have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Gamba Osaka have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Gangwon FC2.74best 2.88
Draw3.16best 3.40
Gamba Osaka2.45best 2.57

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.11best 2.21
Under 2.51.67best 1.72

Both teams to score

Yes1.81best 1.83
No1.87best 1.91

Double chance

Gangwon FC/Draw1.47best 1.53
Gangwon FC/Gamba Osaka1.30best 1.36
Draw/Gamba Osaka1.39best 1.45

Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Gangwon FC2.74 0.10
Draw3.16 0.03
Gamba Osaka2.45 0.06
10 Aug11 Aug

Model vs market

Gangwon FC win+4pp
AI
37.52%
Market
33.5%
Draw+0.4pp
AI
29.5%
Market
29.1%
Gamba Osaka win-4.4pp
AI
32.98%
Market
37.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

0.8Goals scored per game1.8
1Goals conceded per game1.1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Gangwon FC

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
40%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
60%

Gamba Osaka

0-15'
50%
16-30'
25%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
25%
76-90+'
0%

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Gangwon FC vs Gamba Osaka?+

Our AI model favors Gangwon FC to win, with a 37.52% probability (Draw 29.5%, Gamba Osaka 32.98%).

What time does Gangwon FC vs Gamba Osaka kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 11, 2026, 10:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).