Gangwon FC vs Gwangju FC

K League 1· Regular Season - 25
Gangwon FC
22Full-time
Gwangju FC
LWWLGoals 6-94th in league
DLWLGoals 8-612th in league
Home4W 5D 2L(16-11)
Away0W 5D 7L(5-28)

Chuncheon Songam Stadium, Chuncheon

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 6'Moon Min-seo (D. Ba Loua)
  2. 22'Goh Young-Jun (Lee Seung-Won)
  3. 45'Moon Min-seo
  4. 46'Yu Je-Ho (Ju Se-Jong)
  5. 46'Y. Kim (Ju Se-Jong)
  6. 53'Min Sang-Gi (Im Seung-Kyum)
  7. 57'Park Sang-Hyeok (Gun-Hee Kim)
  8. 57'Y. Kang (J. Sekidika)
  9. 66'Kim Woo-jin
  10. 68'Joung Ji-hun (J. Iredale)
  11. 68'Kim Woo-jin (H. Fridjonsson)
  12. 69'Hong Chul
  13. 73'Lee Seung-Won (H. Park)
  14. 73'W. Cho (Mo Jae-Hyeon)
  15. 82'Mo Jae-Hyeon
  16. 86'Park Won-Jae (Lee Min-Ki)
  17. 88'M. Tuci (Kim Dae-Won)
  18. 90'Kim Dong-Hyun (H. Park)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Gangwon FCGwangju FC
0.6
Goals/game
0.8
0.9
Conceded/game
0.6

AI match analysis

Gangwon FC win
62%
Draw
24%
Gwangju FC win
14%
25.8%BTTS
17.9%Over 2.5
42.7%Gangwon FC clean sheet
54.9%Gwangju FC clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-0

Data suggests Gangwon FC is favored to win based on their recent head-to-head dominance over Gwangju FC, having won all five of their last encounters. Furthermore, Gangwon FC's current standing in the top tier of the league contrasts sharply with Gwangju FC's struggles, particularly in away games where they have not secured a win this season. The statistical averages indicate a low scoring match, with both teams struggling to find the back of the net lately.

  • Gangwon FC has won the last 5 matches against Gwangju FC.
  • Gangwon FC is currently 4th in the league, contending for promotion.
  • Gwangju FC has struggled on the road with no wins in away matches this season.
  • Gangwon FC has a better recent form with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
98/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Gangwon FC

  • Historical edgeGangwon FC

    Gangwon FC have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    5/8 H2H wins
  • Higher league positionGangwon FC

    Gangwon FC sit 8 places above Gwangju FC in the table.

    #4 vs #12
  • Poor recent formGangwon FC

    Gangwon FC have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Weak home recordGangwon FC

    Gangwon FC have won 4 of their last 11 home matches.

    4/11 home wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Gangwon FC at 62% — final result was a draw, Gangwon FC 2-2 Gwangju FC.

Predicted score was 1-0.

This was a high confidence pick (98/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Gangwon FC1.50market 66.6% · model 62%
Draw3.88market 25.8% · model 24%
Gwangju FC6.63market 15.1% · model 14%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Gangwon FC have averaged 0.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Gwangju FC have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

5Gangwon FC wins
1Draws
2Gwangju FC wins
11-8Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Gangwon FC1.50best 1.54
Draw3.88best 4.10
Gwangju FC6.63best 7.00

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.11best 2.20
Under 2.51.69best 1.77

Both teams to score

Yes2.19best 2.30
No1.60best 1.67

Double chance

Gangwon FC/Draw1.10best 1.14
Gangwon FC/Gwangju FC1.22best 1.25
Draw/Gwangju FC2.46best 2.55

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes5.00best 5.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.17best 1.17
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes1.83best 1.83
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.83best 1.83

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Gangwon FC1.50
Draw3.88 0.03
Gwangju FC6.63 0.12
24 Aug26 Aug

Model vs market

Gangwon FC win0pp
AI
62%
Market
62%
Draw0pp
AI
24%
Market
24%
Gwangju FC win0pp
AI
14%
Market
14%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
4
Gangwon FC
24996+636LWLL
12
Gwangju FC
251915-3812LLDL

Pre-match comparison

0.6Goals scored per game0.8
0.9Goals conceded per game0.6

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Gangwon FC

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
66.7%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
33.3%

Gwangju FC

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
50%

More K League 1 predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Gangwon FC vs Gwangju FC?+

Our AI model favors Gangwon FC to win, with a 62% probability (Draw 24%, Gwangju FC 14%).

Where is Gangwon FC vs Gwangju FC played?+

The match is played at Chuncheon Songam Stadium, Chuncheon.

What time does Gangwon FC vs Gwangju FC kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 26, 2026, 10:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).