Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor

Süper Lig· Regular Season - 1
LLLWGoals 13-176th in league
DWLWGoals 16-115th in league
Home0W 1D 0L(1-1)
Away0W 1D 0L(1-1)
Gaziantep Stadyumu

Gaziantep Stadyumu, Gaziantep · Capacity 35,558 · grass · Referee: Y. Kol

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 20'Ruan
  2. 53'Juninho Bacuna
  3. 58'Fidan Aliti
  4. 61'Deian Sorescu (Juninho Bacuna)
  5. 69'G. Makouta
  6. 69'Ui Jo Hwang (Enes Keskin)
  7. 70'Juninho Bacuna (V. Gidado)
  8. 70'Trivante Stewart (Serdar Dursun)
  9. 70'K. Kozłowski (I. Dervisoglu)
  10. 77'A. Usluoglu (O. Ben Ali)
  11. 78'G. Makouta (İzzet Çelik)
  12. 78'Ulrich Meleke (Arda Kızıldağ)
  13. 84'Serdar Dursun
  14. 86'Deian Sorescu (Sabahattin Destici)
  15. 88'Ruan (Yusuf Özdemir)
  16. 88'Enes Keskin
  17. 88'Maestro (Baran Ali Gezek)
  18. 90+2'V. Gidado
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Gaziantep FKAlanyaspor
1.3
Goals/game
1.6
1.7
Conceded/game
1.1

AI match analysis

Gaziantep FK win
37%
Draw
29%
Alanyaspor win
34%
56.5%BTTS
54.2%Over 2.5
19.2%Gaziantep FK clean sheet
30.1%Alanyaspor clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Data suggests a closely contested match between Gaziantep FK and Alanyaspor, with both teams entering the season from relatively poor recent form. Gaziantep FK has lost four of their last five matches, while Alanyaspor's mixed results include both wins and losses. The historical head-to-head favors Alanyaspor, further complicating Gaziantep's home advantage.

  • Gaziantep FK lost 4 of their last 5 matches
  • Alanyaspor has a recent average of 1.5 goals scored per game
  • Head-to-head history shows Alanyaspor has the upper hand with 3 wins in the last 5 encounters
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
69/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Gaziantep FK

  • Historical edgeAlanyaspor

    Alanyaspor have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    5/8 H2H wins
  • Tighter defenseAlanyaspor

    Alanyaspor are conceding just 1.1 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.1/game conceded
  • Poor recent formGaziantep FK

    Gaziantep FK have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 0D 4L
  • Sharper attackAlanyaspor

    Alanyaspor are averaging 1.6 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.6/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 37% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pick✓ Exact score

We picked Gaziantep FK at 37% — final result was a draw, Gaziantep FK 1-1 Alanyaspor.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (69/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Gaziantep FK2.47market 40.4% · model 37%
Alanyaspor2.71market 37% · model 34%
Draw3.33market 30% · model 29%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Gaziantep FK have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Alanyaspor have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 1 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1Gaziantep FK wins
2Draws
5Alanyaspor wins
4-13Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Gaziantep FK2.47best 2.59
Draw3.33best 3.50
Alanyaspor2.71best 2.83

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.88best 1.96
Under 2.51.90best 1.96

Both teams to score

Yes1.66best 1.70
No2.10best 2.15

Double chance

Gaziantep FK/Draw1.43best 1.46
Gaziantep FK/Alanyaspor1.30best 1.34
Draw/Alanyaspor1.50best 1.57

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.29best 1.30
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.35best 3.40
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.48best 3.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.27best 1.28

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Gaziantep FK2.47 0.03
Draw3.33 0.12
Alanyaspor2.71 0.07
12 Aug14 Aug

Model vs market

Gaziantep FK win-0.7pp
AI
37%
Market
37.7%
Draw+1pp
AI
29%
Market
28%
Alanyaspor win-0.4pp
AI
34%
Market
34.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
6
Gaziantep FK
2110+14WD
5
Alanyaspor
2110+14WD

Pre-match comparison

1.3Goals scored per game1.6
1.7Goals conceded per game1.1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

Y. Kol

4.57Yellow cards / game
0.14Red cards / game
0.29Penalties scored / game

Based on 7 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Gaziantep FK

0-15'
0%
16-30'
25%
31-45'
25%
46-60'
25%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
25%

Alanyaspor

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
100%
76-90+'
0%

More Süper Lig predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor?+

Our AI model favors Gaziantep FK to win, with a 37% probability (Draw 29%, Alanyaspor 34%).

Where is Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor played?+

The match is played at Gaziantep Stadyumu, Gaziantep (capacity 35,558).

What time does Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 6:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).