Geelong Cats vs Richmond Tigers
GMHBA Stadium
Score
| Team | Goals | Behinds | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
 Geelong Cats | 20 | 13 | 133 |
 Richmond Tigers | 11 | 10 | 76 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 116-58
Data suggests that Geelong Cats are in strong form, winning four of their last five matches and averaging over 116 points scored. In contrast, Richmond Tigers' performance has been dismal, losing their last five games and averaging just 58.5 points scored in their last ten matches. Historical head-to-head results also favor Geelong, supporting their strong home advantage.
- Geelong Cats have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
- Richmond Tigers have lost 5 consecutive matches.
- Geelong Cats average 116.6 points scored in their last 10 matches.
- Historically, Geelong Cats have won 4 of the last 5 encounters against Richmond Tigers.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Geelong Cats
- Strong recent formGeelong Cats
Geelong Cats are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 5 wins.
5W 0D 0L - Poor recent formRichmond Tigers
Richmond Tigers have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Tighter defenseGeelong Cats
Geelong Cats are conceding just 84.8 points per game over their recent matches.
84.8/game conceded - Historical edgeGeelong Cats
Geelong Cats have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
4/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Geelong Cats at 73% — final result was Geelong Cats win, Geelong Cats 133-76 Richmond Tigers.
Predicted score was 116-58.
This was a high confidence pick (80/100) — and it paid off.
Match trends
- Geelong Cats have averaged 106 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Richmond Tigers have averaged 61.6 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Geelong Cats are unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 meetings with Richmond Tigers.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
Ladder
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Fremantle Dockers | 23 | 19 | 0 | 4 | +620 | 76 | WLWW |
| 2 |  Sydney Swans | 23 | 18 | 0 | 5 | +674 | 72 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Brisbane Lions | 23 | 16 | 0 | 7 | +445 | 64 | WWLW |
| 4 |  Hawthorn Hawks | 23 | 15 | 2 | 6 | +379 | 64 | DLWW |
| 5 | Geelong Cats | 23 | 15 | 0 | 8 | +430 | 60 | WWWW |
| 6 |  Adelaide Crows | 23 | 15 | 0 | 8 | +320 | 60 | LWWL |
| 7 |  Melbourne Demons | 23 | 15 | 0 | 8 | +202 | 60 | WWWL |
| 8 |  Western Bulldogs | 23 | 13 | 1 | 9 | -91 | 54 | DLLW |
| 9 |  Collingwood Magpies | 23 | 12 | 2 | 9 | +47 | 52 | DWLW |
| 10 |  Carlton Blues | 23 | 12 | 1 | 10 | +29 | 50 | DWWW |
| 11 |  St Kilda Saints | 23 | 10 | 0 | 13 | +56 | 40 | WLLW |
| 12 |  Greater Western Sydney Giants | 23 | 10 | 0 | 13 | -22 | 40 | WLWL |
| 13 |  Gold Coast Suns | 23 | 9 | 0 | 14 | -117 | 36 | LWLL |
| 14 |  North Melbourne Kangaroos | 23 | 9 | 0 | 14 | -243 | 36 | LWLL |
| 15 |  Port Adelaide Power | 23 | 7 | 0 | 16 | -245 | 28 | LLLL |
| 16 |  West Coast Eagles | 23 | 4 | 0 | 19 | -718 | 16 | LLLL |
| 17 | Richmond Tigers | 23 | 3 | 0 | 20 | -890 | 12 | LLWL |
| 18 |  Essendon Bombers | 23 | 2 | 0 | 21 | -876 | 8 | LLLL |
More AFL Premiership predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Geelong Cats vs Richmond Tigers?+
Our AI model favors Geelong Cats to win, with a 73% probability (Richmond Tigers 27%).
What time does Geelong Cats vs Richmond Tigers start?+
First bounce is at Aug 22, 2026, 9:45 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the final score in Geelong Cats vs Richmond Tigers?+
Geelong Cats: 20.13 (133). Richmond Tigers: 11.10 (76).