GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave

Primeira Liga· Regular Season - 1
GIL Vicente
10Full-time
Rio Ave
LDDWGoals 12-105th in league
DDLWGoals 12-1410th in league
Home2W 0D 0L(3-0)
Away1W 0D 1L(2-1)
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos · Capacity 12,046 · grass · Referee: Gustavo Correia

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 19'Weverson (David Moreira)
  2. 27'Ryan Guilherme (Tamble)
  3. 33'F. Caseres
  4. 45+4'N. Abbey
  5. 47'A. Ntoi
  6. 50'R. Galcik (Tamás Nikitscher)
  7. 65'David Moreira (José Silva)
  8. 65'F. Caseres (Ze Carlos)
  9. 76'A. Lausen (Hector Hernandez)
  10. 76'G. Pinto Martins (Tidjany Touré)
  11. 83'Diogo Bezerra (D. Špikić)
  12. 83'Jalen Blesa (M. Vrousai)
  13. 83'D. Nascimento (J. Brabec)
  14. 85'J. Brabec
  15. 87'Hector Hernandez
  16. 90+1'G. Liavas

Lineups

GIL VicenteRio Ave
1.2
Goals/game
1.2
1.0
Conceded/game
1.4

AI match analysis

GIL Vicente win
48.28%
Draw
28.17%
Rio Ave win
23.55%
48.5%BTTS
43%Over 2.5
33.3%GIL Vicente clean sheet
27.3%Rio Ave clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-0

With both GIL Vicente and Rio Ave beginning the season without points, the contest offers an intriguing matchup. The slight statistical edge favors GIL Vicente according to bookmaker-implied probabilities, which may suggest a home advantage in early season fixtures.

  • Both teams starting the season with no points from played matches, indicating equal opportunity.
  • GIL Vicente holds a slight edge based on implied probabilities from bookmakers.
  • Historical data may show home advantage typically favors GIL Vicente in similar matchups.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pick✓ Exact score

We picked GIL Vicente at 48.28% — final result was GIL Vicente win, GIL Vicente 1-0 Rio Ave.

Predicted score was 1-0.

Closing odds vs. our model

GIL Vicente1.97market 50.7% · model 48.28%
Draw3.35market 29.8% · model 28.17%
Rio Ave3.85market 25.9% · model 23.55%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • GIL Vicente have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Rio Ave have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2GIL Vicente wins
4Draws
2Rio Ave wins
10-10Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

GIL Vicente1.97best 2.05
Draw3.35best 3.50
Rio Ave3.85best 4.08

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.09best 2.21
Under 2.51.73best 1.80

Both teams to score

Yes1.85best 1.92
No1.87best 1.93

Double chance

GIL Vicente/Draw1.24best 1.29
GIL Vicente/Rio Ave1.29best 1.34
Draw/Rio Ave1.81best 1.85

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.21best 1.22
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.45best 2.50
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.50best 1.50
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.00best 4.00

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

GIL Vicente1.97 0.02
Draw3.35 0.04
Rio Ave3.85 0.02
9 Aug9 Aug

Model vs market

GIL Vicente win+0.7pp
AI
48.28%
Market
47.6%
Draw+0.2pp
AI
28.17%
Market
28%
Rio Ave win-0.8pp
AI
23.55%
Market
24.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
5
GIL Vicente
2200+36WW
10
Rio Ave
3102-13WLL

Pre-match comparison

1.2Goals scored per game1.2
1Goals conceded per game1.4

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

Gustavo Correia

8Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 4 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

GIL Vicente

0-15'
0%
16-30'
50%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Rio Ave

0-15'
33.3%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
33.3%
61-75'
33.3%
76-90+'
0%

Match statistics

64%Possession36%
1.48Expected goals (xG)0.31
4Shots on target2
12Total shots6
5Shots off target3
3Blocked shots1
7Shots inside the box1
5Shots outside the box5
5Corners2
2Offsides0
14Fouls8
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
2Goalkeeper saves3
492Total passes287
434Accurate passes222
88%Pass accuracy77%

Player ratings

Box score

GIL Vicente

30
30LucãoG · 99'
7.0
More stats
Shots on target
Passes26%
Tackles
Duels
47Ricardo EsgaioD · 99'
7.9
More stats
Shots on target
Passes49%
Tackles5
Duels
4
4M. ElimbiD · 99'
6.9
More stats
Shots on target
Passes62%
Tackles
Duels
39Buatu (C)D · 99'
7.6
More stats
Shots on target
Passes72%
Tackles2
Duels
26
26WeversonD · 19'
6.7
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes4%
Tackles
Duels
12
12A. LausenM · 76'
6.7
More stats
Shots on target
Passes36%
Tackles1
Duels
5
5F. CaseresM · 65'
🟨7.0
More stats
Shots on target
Passes37%
Tackles
Duels
20
6.2
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes21%
Tackles
Duels
10
10Santi GarcíaM · 99'
7.2
More stats
Shots on target
Passes31%
Tackles1
Duels
11
6.9
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes19%
Tackles3
Duels
29
29Carlos EduardoF · 99'
6.5
More stats
Shots1/2 on target
Passes6%
Tackles1
Duels
Bench (11)
45
45David MoreiraD · 46'
6.9
More stats
Shots on target
Passes23%
Tackles
Duels
2
2José SilvaD · 34'
7.0
More stats
Shots on target
Passes12%
Tackles1
Duels
6
6Ze CarlosM · 34'
7.2
More stats
Shots on target
Passes29%
Tackles1
Duels
7
7.2
More stats
Shots1/2 on target
Passes5%
Tackles
Duels
86
27
17.0
More stats
Shots2/2 on target
Passes2%
Tackles1
Duels
99

Rio Ave

8.2
More stats
Shots on target
Passes32%
Tackles
Duels
54
54G. LiavasD · 99'
🟨6.9
More stats
Shots on target
Passes23%
Tackles4
Duels
23
23F. Petrasso (C)D · 99'
7.2
More stats
Shots on target
Passes32%
Tackles
Duels
39Gustavo ManchaD · 99'
6.9
More stats
Shots on target
Passes29%
Tackles1
Duels
6N. AbbeyD · 99'
🟨6.9
More stats
Shots on target
Passes17%
Tackles5
Duels
90
90D. NascimentoM · 83'
6.7
More stats
Shots on target
Passes25%
Tackles
Duels
5A. NtoiM · 47'
🟥5.6
More stats
Shots on target
Passes10%
Tackles1
Duels
6.7
More stats
Shots on target
Passes3%
Tackles
Duels
30
30R. GalčíkM · 50'
7.2
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes11%
Tackles
Duels
11
11Jalen BlesaF · 82'
6.5
More stats
Shots1/1 on target
Passes9%
Tackles1
Duels
7
7Diogo BezerraM · 83'
6.6
More stats
Shots0/2 on target
Passes10%
Tackles1
Duels
Bench (10)
22
63
14
14J. BrabecD · 16'
🟨6.3
17
17M. VrousaiF · 17'
6.5
More stats
Shots1/1 on target
Passes1%
Tackles
Duels
6.9
More stats
Shots on target
Passes5%
Tackles3
Duels
9
9TambleF · 73'
6.9
More stats
Shots on target
Passes13%
Tackles1
Duels
67
77
77D. ŠpikićF · 16'
6.7
More stats
Shots on target
Passes2%
Tackles1
Duels
79

More Primeira Liga predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave?+

Our AI model favors GIL Vicente to win, with a 48.28% probability (Draw 28.17%, Rio Ave 23.55%).

Where is GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave played?+

The match is played at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos (capacity 12,046).

What time does GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 9, 2026, 7:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).