Gimnasia L.P. vs Barracas Central

Liga Profesional Argentina· Clausura - 4
LLLLGoals 13-126th in league
WLLLGoals 9-127th in league
Home4W 1D 3L(11-10)
Away2W 0D 1L(2-2)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 27'Dardo Miloc
  2. 33'I. Miramon
  3. 42'R. Barrios
  4. 46'Agustín Colazo (P. Silva)
  5. 46'Yonatthan Rak (N. Capraro)
  6. 54'Alexis Steimbach
  7. 60'J. Candia (G. Maroni)
  8. 64'T. Porra
  9. 72'R. Barrios (Manuel Duarte)
  10. 72'I. Tapia (L. Gamba)
  11. 74'I. Miramon (Mateo Seoane)
  12. 75'Nicolás Barros Schelotto (L. Janson)
  13. 79'Agustín Auzmendi (Franco Torres)
  14. 79'Agustín Colazo (Manuel Panaro)
  15. 82'G. Maroni
  16. 82'Augusto Max
  17. 85'Ignacio Fernández (Bautista Barros Schelotto)
  18. 88'Rodrigo Insúa (J. Barbieri)
  19. 90+2'Franco Torres (Alexis Steimbach)

Lineups

Gimnasia L.P.Barracas Central
1.3
Goals/game
0.9
1.2
Conceded/game
1.2

AI match analysis

Gimnasia L.P. win
52%
Draw
30%
Barracas Central win
18%
46.4%BTTS
40.4%Over 2.5
35%Gimnasia L.P. clean sheet
28.7%Barracas Central clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests that Gimnasia L.P. has been stronger in recent matchups against Barracas Central, having secured victories in their last two meetings. While Gimnasia L.P. boasts a decent scoring average of 1.2 goals per game, Barracas Central struggles offensively with only 0.9 goals scored on average in their last ten matches. This analysis favors a home win, but with Barracas Central's recent form still showing potential, a close contest is expected.

  • Gimnasia L.P. won the last 2 encounters against Barracas Central.
  • Barracas Central has an average of only 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Gimnasia L.P. is currently 6th in the standings with a solid recent form of WWLLW.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Gimnasia L.P. at 52% — final result was Gimnasia L.P. win, Gimnasia L.P. 2-0 Barracas Central.

Predicted score was 2-1.

Closing odds vs. our model

Gimnasia L.P.1.83market 54.6% · model 52%
Draw3.15market 31.7% · model 30%
Barracas Central4.91market 20.4% · model 18%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Gimnasia L.P. have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Barracas Central have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

2Gimnasia L.P. wins
1Draws
1Barracas Central wins
5-3Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Gimnasia L.P.1.83best 1.86
Draw3.15best 3.30
Barracas Central4.91best 5.25

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.72best 2.85
Under 2.51.44best 1.47

Both teams to score

Yes2.37best 2.62
No1.53best 1.57

Double chance

Gimnasia L.P./Draw1.17best 1.19
Gimnasia L.P./Barracas Central1.33best 1.36
Draw/Barracas Central1.94best 2.00

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes1.86best 1.93
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.29best 1.30
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.40best 3.40
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.84best 1.91

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Gimnasia L.P.1.83 0.01
Draw3.15 0.08
Barracas Central4.91 0.04
9 Aug9 Aug

Model vs market

Gimnasia L.P. win+0.8pp
AI
52%
Market
51.2%
Draw+0.3pp
AI
30%
Market
29.7%
Barracas Central win-1.1pp
AI
18%
Market
19.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
6
Gimnasia L.P.
16826026LWWW
7
Barracas Central
6303-19LLWW

Pre-match comparison

1.3Goals scored per game0.9
1.2Goals conceded per game1.2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

Nicolas Lamolina

6.4Yellow cards / game
0.2Red cards / game
0.4Penalties scored / game

Based on 5 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Gimnasia L.P.

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
25%
61-75'
25%
76-90+'
50%

Barracas Central

0-15'
0%
16-30'
100%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Match statistics

49%Possession51%
1.2Expected goals (xG)0.35
6Shots on target2
16Total shots13
5Shots off target8
5Blocked shots3
11Shots inside the box4
5Shots outside the box9
2Corners1
3Offsides3
7Fouls18
3Yellow cards4
Red cards
2Goalkeeper saves4
422Total passes441
311Accurate passes329
74%Pass accuracy75%

Player ratings

Box score

Gimnasia L.P.

23Nelson InsfránG · 90'
6.9
More stats
Shots on target
Passes14%
Tackles
Duels
🅰️ 1🟨7.2
More stats
Shots0/2 on target
Passes27%
Tackles3
Duels60%
6.7
More stats
Shots on target
Passes33%
Tackles1
Duels31%
21Enzo MartínezD · 90'
6.9
More stats
Shots on target
Passes29%
Tackles3
Duels47%
24
24P. SilvaD · 90'
🅰️ 17.9
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes20%
Tackles3
Duels71%
More stats
Shots1/1 on target
Passes35%
Tackles4
Duels58%
16Augusto MaxM · 90'
🟨7.5
More stats
Shots on target
Passes43%
Tackles3
Duels60%
5
5I. MiramonM · 74'
🟨7.3
More stats
Shots on target
Passes42%
Tackles4
Duels67%
More stats
Shots on target
Passes41%
Tackles3
Duels59%
19Agustín ColazoF · 79'
17.0
More stats
Shots1/2 on target
Passes12%
Tackles
Duels33%
6.7
More stats
Shots2/2 on target
Passes9%
Tackles
Duels67%
Bench (12)
More stats
Shots on target
Passes
Tackles
Duels0%
18Mateo SeoaneM · 16'
6.9
More stats
Shots1/1 on target
Passes4%
Tackles3
Duels100%
7Manuel PanaroF · 11'
6.3
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes1%
Tackles
Duels0%
26Franco TorresF · 11'
17.7
More stats
Shots1/1 on target
Passes
Tackles
Duels100%
17
17L. JansonF · 16'
6.3
More stats
Shots on target
Passes1%
Tackles
Duels33%

Barracas Central

More stats
Shots on target
Passes22%
Tackles
Duels
13
13R. BarriosD · 72'
🟨5.9
More stats
Shots on target
Passes17%
Tackles
Duels22%
14K. JappertD · 90'
6.2
More stats
Shots1/1 on target
Passes32%
Tackles
Duels83%
15Yonatthan RakD · 45'
6.9
More stats
Shots on target
Passes18%
Tackles1
Duels50%
31N. DemartiniD · 90'
6.3
More stats
Shots on target
Passes36%
Tackles
Duels50%
6.3
More stats
Shots on target
Passes22%
Tackles
Duels36%
8T. PorraM · 90'
🟨6.9
More stats
Shots0/2 on target
Passes42%
Tackles3
Duels43%
5Dardo MilocM · 90'
🟨6.6
More stats
Shots on target
Passes31%
Tackles5
Duels60%
10
10I. Tapia (C)M · 72'
6.5
More stats
Shots1/2 on target
Passes20%
Tackles
Duels25%
77F. BrueraF · 90'
7.0
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes16%
Tackles1
Duels50%
20J. CandiaF · 60'
6.2
More stats
Shots0/2 on target
Passes15%
Tackles1
Duels46%
Bench (12)
17
2N. CapraroD · 45'
6.5
More stats
Shots on target
Passes20%
Tackles2
Duels57%
33
33G. MaroniM · 30'
🟨6.9
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes17%
Tackles
Duels60%
28
18Manuel DuarteM · 18'
6.9
More stats
Shots on target
Passes12%
Tackles1
Duels100%
21
21L. GambaF · 18'
6.3
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes7%
Tackles
Duels0%
7
7J. BarbieriF · 2'
More stats
Shots on target
Passes2%
Tackles
Duels0%

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Gimnasia L.P. vs Barracas Central?+

Our AI model favors Gimnasia L.P. to win, with a 52% probability (Draw 30%, Barracas Central 18%).

What time does Gimnasia L.P. vs Barracas Central kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 9, 2026, 8:45 PM (your local time, based on your device).