Gloria Bistriţa vs Metalul Buzău

Cupa României· Final
Gloria Bistriţa
00After Penalties
Metalul Buzău
WLLWGoals 17-13
WWLLGoals 22-15

Value found

+2.4% edge

Metalul Buzău win

2.94AI fair odds
3.01Bookmaker odds
+2.4%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Gloria BistriţaMetalul Buzău
1.7
Goals/game
2.2
1.3
Conceded/game
1.5

AI match analysis

Gloria Bistriţa win
39%
Draw
27%
Metalul Buzău win
34%
65.9%BTTS
65.1%Over 2.5
17.4%Gloria Bistriţa clean sheet
20.2%Metalul Buzău clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The analysis suggests a competitive matchup with both teams having strengths and weaknesses. Metalul Buzău remains unbeaten in their last four matches, while Gloria Bistriţa struggles with two recent home losses. Given their scoring averages, a low-scoring draw seems plausible.

  • Metalul Buzău unbeaten in last 4 matches
  • Gloria Bistriţa has lost 2 of their last 5 home games
  • Metalul Buzău averages more goals scored in their last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
50/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Gloria Bistriţa

  • Poor recent formGloria Bistriţa

    Gloria Bistriţa have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Good recent formMetalul Buzău

    Metalul Buzău have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Sharper attackMetalul Buzău

    Metalul Buzău are averaging 2.2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2.2/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 39% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Gloria Bistriţa at 39% — final result was a draw, Gloria Bistriţa 0-0 Metalul Buzău.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (50/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Gloria Bistriţa2.15market 46.4% · model 39%
Metalul Buzău3.01market 33.2% · model 34%
Draw3.16market 31.6% · model 27%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Gloria Bistriţa have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Metalul Buzău have averaged 2.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Gloria Bistriţa2.15best 2.26
Draw3.16best 3.35
Metalul Buzău3.01best 3.25

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.97best 2.15
Under 2.51.73best 1.82

Both teams to score

Yes1.74best 1.86
No1.92best 2.00

Double chance

Gloria Bistriţa/Draw1.31best 1.35
Gloria Bistriţa/Metalul Buzău1.26best 1.32
Draw/Metalul Buzău1.60best 1.67

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Gloria Bistriţa2.15 0.06
Draw3.16 0.02
Metalul Buzău3.01 0.13
16 Aug19 Aug

Model vs market

Gloria Bistriţa win-2.7pp
AI
39%
Market
41.7%
Draw-1.4pp
AI
27%
Market
28.4%
Metalul Buzău win+4.2pp
AI
34%
Market
29.8%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.7Goals scored per game2.2
1.3Goals conceded per game1.5

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Gloria Bistriţa

0-15'
50%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
50%

Metalul Buzău

0-15'
16.7%
16-30'
33.3%
31-45'
16.7%
46-60'
16.7%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
16.7%

More Cupa României predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Gloria Bistriţa vs Metalul Buzău?+

Our AI model favors Gloria Bistriţa to win, with a 39% probability (Draw 27%, Metalul Buzău 34%).

What time does Gloria Bistriţa vs Metalul Buzău kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 19, 2026, 2:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).