Goias vs Juventude

Serie B· Regular Season - 23
Goias
01Full-time
Juventude
WLDWGoals 10-1111th in league
DWDWGoals 14-121st in league
Home6W 1D 4L(10-12)
Away4W 3D 4L(9-11)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 13'Aderlan
  2. 45+2'Luisao
  3. 46'Rodrigo Soares (Marcos Vinicius)
  4. 46'Cadu (Lucas Lima)
  5. 58'L. Amarilla (Pablo)
  6. 58'L. Amarilla (Alan Kardec)
  7. 58'Safira (Alan Kardec)
  8. 60'Marcos Paulo (Fábio Lima)
  9. 60'Gegê (Wellington Rato)
  10. 65'Luan Martins (Gabriel Pires)
  11. 70'Nicolas Vichiatto (Djalma Silva)
  12. 71'Kadu (E. García)
  13. 79'Rai Silva (Lucas Alves)
  14. 88'Fábio Lima (Alan Kardec)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
GoiasJuventude
1.0
Goals/game
1.4
1.1
Conceded/game
1.2

AI match analysis

Goias win
42.4%
Draw
33.54%
Juventude win
24.06%
47.6%BTTS
41.7%Over 2.5
28.7%Goias clean sheet
33.3%Juventude clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-0

The data suggests a closely contested match, with Goias showing resilience at home, remaining unbeaten in their last three home fixtures. Conversely, Juventude's away performance indicates challenges, having secured only three victories out of ten games on the road. Historical encounters favor Goias, who have consistently held the upper hand in their recent clashes against Juventude.

  • Goias unbeaten in last 3 home games
  • Juventude has struggled away with only 3 wins
  • Goias scored only 0.9 goals per game in last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
74/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Goias

  • Historical edgeGoias

    Goias have won 3 of the last 6 meetings between these two teams.

    3/6 H2H wins
  • Higher league positionJuventude

    Juventude sit 10 places above Goias in the table.

    #1 vs #11
  • Strong home recordGoias

    Goias have won 6 of their last 11 home matches.

    6/11 home wins
  • Weak away recordJuventude

    Juventude have won 4 of their last 11 away matches.

    4/11 away wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 42% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Goias at 42.4% — final result was Juventude win, Goias 0-1 Juventude.

Predicted score was 1-0.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (74/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Goias2.22market 45% · model 42.4%
Draw2.86market 35% · model 33.54%
Juventude3.67market 27.3% · model 24.06%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Goias have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Juventude have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of the last 6 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

3Goias wins
2Draws
1Juventude wins
8-7Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Goias2.22best 2.30
Draw2.86best 3.05
Juventude3.67best 4.17

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.65best 2.74
Under 2.51.44best 1.48

Both teams to score

Yes2.15best 2.20
No1.63best 1.65

Double chance

Goias/Draw1.26best 1.31
Goias/Juventude1.37best 1.40
Draw/Juventude1.62best 1.67

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.62best 1.62
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.20best 2.20
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.36best 1.36
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.00best 3.00

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Goias2.22 0.08
Draw2.86 0.21
Juventude3.67 0.49
16 Aug19 Aug

Model vs market

Goias win+0.4pp
AI
42.4%
Market
42%
Draw+0.9pp
AI
33.54%
Market
32.6%
Juventude win-1.3pp
AI
24.06%
Market
25.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
11
Goias
24969-633LLWL
1
Juventude
241365+1345WDWW

Pre-match comparison

1Goals scored per game1.4
1.1Goals conceded per game1.2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

A. Policarpo Bento

3Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Goias

0-15'
25%
16-30'
50%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
25%
76-90+'
0%

Juventude

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
33.3%
61-75'
33.3%
76-90+'
33.3%

More Serie B predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Goias vs Juventude?+

Our AI model favors Goias to win, with a 42.4% probability (Draw 33.54%, Juventude 24.06%).

What time does Goias vs Juventude kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 19, 2026, 12:35 AM (your local time, based on your device).