Granada CF vs Mallorca
Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes, Granada · Capacity 23,156 · grass
Match events
- 20'P. Aleman (S. Lopez)
- 26'M. Calatayud
- 45+1'G. Gumbau
- 46'José Manuel Arnáiz (O. M. Chukwuemeka)
- 58'C. Onouha (A. Marques)
- 58'Sergio Rodelas (K. Bamba)
- 59'A. Roca (Arnau Puigmal)
- 60'M. Calatayud (Adrian Liso)
- 69'P. Torre (J. Cerda)
- 69'A. Fuentes (A. Buksa)
- 70'S. Lopez (O. Naasei)
- 81'P. Aleman (M. Jimenez Gambin)
- 81'Arnau Puigmal
- 83'Raillo
- 85'Z. Luvumbo (A. Sanchez)
- 89'J. Cerda
Lineups
- 1.0
- Goals/game
- 1.4
- 1.5
- Conceded/game
- 1.0
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
The data suggests that Mallorca enters this match in a stronger position, having won their last game and exhibiting relatively solid recent form compared to Granada CF, who have struggled with four losses in their last five matches. Historically, Mallorca has had the upper hand in their most recent encounters, which may provide them with confidence. With the scoring averages favoring Mallorca slightly, they appear more likely to capitalize on their opportunities.
- Mallorca won their last match and has better recent form.
- Granada CF has not won in their last 5 matches, with 1 draw and 4 losses.
- Head-to-head history shows Mallorca winning 1 of the last 5 encounters against Granada CF.
Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Mallorca
- Higher league positionGranada CF
Granada CF sit 8 places above Mallorca in the table.
#4 vs #12 - Poor recent formGranada CF
Granada CF have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Tighter defenseMallorca
Mallorca are conceding just 1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1/game conceded - Historical edgeGranada CF
Granada CF have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
5/8 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 39% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Mallorca at 39% — final result was Granada CF win, Granada CF 2-0 Mallorca.
Predicted score was 1-2.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (72/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Granada CF have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Mallorca have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Mallorca
Granada CFGranada CFMallorcaMallorcaGranada CFGranada CFMallorcaMallorcaGranada CFGranada CFMallorcaGranada CFMallorcaMallorcaGranada CFOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Granada CF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 | WD |
| 12 | Mallorca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | LW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Mallorca
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EldenseFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Granada CF vs Mallorca?+
Our AI model favors Mallorca to win, with a 39% probability (Draw 31%, Granada CF 30%).
Where is Granada CF vs Mallorca played?+
The match is played at Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes, Granada (capacity 23,156).
What time does Granada CF vs Mallorca kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 24, 2026, 7:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).