Gregory Rodrigues vs Anthony Hernandez

UFC· UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues· Middleweight· Main Event
WWWW
Robocop19-6-0 (W-L-D)12 KO, 3 SUB
Ht 191cmWt 84kgReach 191cmStance Orthodox
Kill Cliff FC
WWWL
Fluffy15-3-0 (W-L-D)3 KO, 9 SUB
Ht 183cmWt 84kgReach 191cmStance Orthodox
MMAGold Fight

Value found

+10.8% edge

Gregory Rodrigues win

2.44AI fair odds
2.70Bookmaker odds
+10.8%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Fight time
In Progress
Result

AI fight analysis

Gregory Rodrigues win
41%
Anthony Hernandez win
59%

Data suggests that the fight is competitive, with Rodrigues slightly favored due to his striking capabilities. However, Hernandez's effective submission game and recent fight performance give him an edge. Ultimately, the numbers indicate that Rodrigues has an estimated 41% chance of winning while Hernandez stands at 59%.

  • Rodrigues has 12 of his 19 career victories coming by knockout or TKO, indicating strong striking power.
  • Hernandez has a significant submission game with 9 of his 15 wins by submission, which may exploit Rodrigues' defensive weaknesses.
  • Rodrigues has a recent win streak against notable opponents, but also has suffered two losses in his last seven fights.
  • Hernandez has demonstrated consistent performance, winning his last five fights without a loss.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
76/100

Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two fighters is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and both fighters' career records and recent fight history are available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Anthony Hernandez

  • More experiencedGregory Rodrigues

    Gregory Rodrigues has fought 25 professional fights, 7 more than their opponent tonight.

    25 pro fights
  • Superior career recordAnthony Hernandez

    Anthony Hernandez carries a 15-3 professional record, a 83% win rate.

    15-3
  • High finishing rateAnthony Hernandez

    Anthony Hernandez has finished 12 of 15 career wins by knockout or submission, a 80% finish rate.

    80% finish rate

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Gregory Rodrigues2.70best 2.86AI 41%
Anthony Hernandez1.46best 1.50AI 59%

Average price across 7 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

Gregory Rodrigues2.70 0.51
Anthony Hernandez1.46 0.21
12 Aug22 Aug

Model vs market

Gregory Rodrigues win+5.9pp
AI
41%
Market
35.1%
Anthony Hernandez win-5.9pp
AI
59%
Market
64.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Gregory Rodrigues vs Anthony Hernandez?+

Our AI model favors Anthony Hernandez to win, with a 59% probability (Gregory Rodrigues 41%).

What time does Gregory Rodrigues vs Anthony Hernandez start?+

This fight took place on Aug 23, 2026, 2:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).

What are the career records of Gregory Rodrigues and Anthony Hernandez?+

Gregory Rodrigues is 19-6-0 (W-L-D). Anthony Hernandez is 15-3-0 (W-L-D).