Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard

Euroborg, Groningen · Capacity 22,579 · grass
Kickoff: Aug 28, 2026, 8:00 PM (stadium time)
Your time: —
Value found
+1.8% edgeFortuna Sittard win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
- 2.1
- Goals/game
- 1.0
- 2.2
- Conceded/game
- 1.3
AI match analysis
Preliminary — updates once lineups are confirmed
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests that Groningen holds a strong advantage in their home match against Fortuna Sittard, having secured a victory in their only home game so far this season. Conversely, Fortuna Sittard has not yet recorded an away win, which may impact their performance. The historical head-to-head records indicate competitiveness, but Groningen's recent form may give them the edge.
- Groningen has won their only home match this season.
- Fortuna Sittard has not yet won an away match this season.
- Historically, the last 5 matches have been closely contested between these teams, with Groningen narrowly winning 1 of the last 5 encounters.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly. Shown in English — a localized version is being prepared.
Why AI favors Groningen
- Strong home recordGroningen
Groningen have won 1 of their last 1 home matches.
1/1 home wins - Weak away recordFortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard have won 0 of their last 1 away matches.
0/1 away wins - Sharper attackGroningen
Groningen are averaging 2.1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.1/game - Tighter defenseFortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard are conceding just 1.3 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.3/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Lineups not confirmed
Starting lineups aren't confirmed yet and could materially affect this prediction once they land.
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
Match trends
- Groningen have averaged 2.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Fortuna Sittard have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | LWW | |
| 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | LWD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Groningen
Fortuna Sittard
More Eredivisie predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard?+
Our AI model favors Groningen to win, with a 60% probability (Draw 20%, Fortuna Sittard 20%).
Where is Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard played?+
The match is played at Euroborg, Groningen (capacity 22,579).
What time does Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 28, 2026, 6:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).

