Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard

Eredivisie· Regular Season - 4
LWWLGoals 21-225th in league
DDWLGoals 10-138th in league
Home1W 0D 0L(2-1)
Away0W 1D 0L(2-2)
Kicks off in
Euroborg

Euroborg, Groningen · Capacity 22,579 · grass

Kickoff: Aug 28, 2026, 8:00 PM (stadium time)

Value found

+1.8% edge

Fortuna Sittard win

5AI fair odds
5.09Bookmaker odds
+1.8%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time
Lineups not confirmed yet — check back closer to kickoff.
GroningenFortuna Sittard
2.1
Goals/game
1.0
2.2
Conceded/game
1.3

AI match analysis

Preliminary — updates once lineups are confirmed

Groningen win
60%
Draw
20%
Fortuna Sittard win
20%
65.2%BTTS
64.1%Over 2.5
20.2%Groningen clean sheet
18.3%Fortuna Sittard clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests that Groningen holds a strong advantage in their home match against Fortuna Sittard, having secured a victory in their only home game so far this season. Conversely, Fortuna Sittard has not yet recorded an away win, which may impact their performance. The historical head-to-head records indicate competitiveness, but Groningen's recent form may give them the edge.

  • Groningen has won their only home match this season.
  • Fortuna Sittard has not yet won an away match this season.
  • Historically, the last 5 matches have been closely contested between these teams, with Groningen narrowly winning 1 of the last 5 encounters.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
99/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly. Shown in English — a localized version is being prepared.

Why AI favors Groningen

  • Strong home recordGroningen

    Groningen have won 1 of their last 1 home matches.

    1/1 home wins
  • Weak away recordFortuna Sittard

    Fortuna Sittard have won 0 of their last 1 away matches.

    0/1 away wins
  • Sharper attackGroningen

    Groningen are averaging 2.1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2.1/game
  • Tighter defenseFortuna Sittard

    Fortuna Sittard are conceding just 1.3 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.3/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • Lineups not confirmed

    Starting lineups aren't confirmed yet and could materially affect this prediction once they land.

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

Match trends

  • Groningen have averaged 2.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Fortuna Sittard have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4Groningen wins
0Draws
4Fortuna Sittard wins
12-10Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Groningen1.55best 1.60
Draw4.49best 4.70
Fortuna Sittard5.09best 5.40

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.43best 1.48
Under 2.52.73best 2.88

Both teams to score

Yes1.51best 1.55
No2.41best 2.55

Double chance

Groningen/Draw1.16best 1.19
Groningen/Fortuna Sittard1.18best 1.21
Draw/Fortuna Sittard2.40best 2.50

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.06best 1.08
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes7.50best 8.00
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.90best 3.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.37best 1.38

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Groningen1.55 0.07
Draw4.49 0.02
Fortuna Sittard5.09 0.24
25 Aug28 Aug

Model vs market

Groningen win-0.6pp
AI
60%
Market
60.6%
Draw-1pp
AI
20%
Market
21%
Fortuna Sittard win+1.5pp
AI
20%
Market
18.5%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
5
Groningen
320106LWW
8
Fortuna Sittard
311104LWD

Pre-match comparison

2.1Goals scored per game1
2.2Goals conceded per game1.3

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Groningen

0-15'
42.9%
16-30'
14.3%
31-45'
14.3%
46-60'
14.3%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
14.3%

Fortuna Sittard

0-15'
40%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
20%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
40%

More Eredivisie predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard?+

Our AI model favors Groningen to win, with a 60% probability (Draw 20%, Fortuna Sittard 20%).

Where is Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard played?+

The match is played at Euroborg, Groningen (capacity 22,579).

What time does Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 28, 2026, 6:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).