Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Oriente Petrolero

Primera División· Apertura - 17
WLLDGoals 20-1715th in league
WWLWGoals 20-194th in league
Home2W 4D 3L(13-14)
Away2W 2D 5L(13-18)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 5'M. Aviles (Matheus Moresche)
  2. 11'R. Ferrufino
  3. 25'J. Flores
  4. 26'Matheus Moresche
  5. 27'F. Lopez
  6. 35'G. Justiniano
  7. 40'F. Gonzales Mejia
  8. 43'M. Aviles
  9. 46'Matheus Moresche (R. Monteiro)
  10. 46'R. Ferrufino (C. Ribera)
  11. 46'E. Quispe (S. Villarroel)
  12. 46'F. Gonzales Mejia (J. Velasco)
  13. 46'M. Velasco (B. Mamani)
  14. 46'L. Vaca (O. Perdomo)
  15. 47'G. Justiniano
  16. 47'G. Justiniano
  17. 53'S. Galindo (G. Vaca)
  18. 61'A. Cáceres
  19. 61'A. Cáceres (C. Ribera)
  20. 64'F. Lopez (M. Roskopf)
  21. 65'J. Flores
  22. 70'J. Velasco
  23. 72'A. Cáceres
  24. 73'R. Monteiro (R. Orihuela)
  25. 80'B. Mamani (N. Nacif)
  26. 85'J. Flores (O. Perdomo)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Gualberto Villarroel SJOriente Petrolero
2.0
Goals/game
2.0
1.7
Conceded/game
1.9

AI match analysis

Gualberto Villarroel SJ win
53%
Draw
23%
Oriente Petrolero win
24%
72.3%BTTS
73.1%Over 2.5
15.7%Gualberto Villarroel SJ clean sheet
14.2%Oriente Petrolero clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests a competitive matchup as Gualberto Villarroel SJ aims to leverage their home advantage, remaining unbeaten in their last three home games. Oriente Petrolero, despite their higher league standing, has struggled on the road with five losses out of eight away matches this season. The historical head-to-head record recently favors Gualberto Villarroel SJ, having won three of the last five meetings against Oriente Petrolero.

  • Gualberto Villarroel SJ unbeaten in last 3 home games
  • Oriente Petrolero has lost 5 of their last 8 away games
  • Historically, Gualberto Villarroel SJ has won 3 of the last 5 encounters against Oriente Petrolero
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
91/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Gualberto Villarroel SJ

  • Higher league positionOriente Petrolero

    Oriente Petrolero sit 11 places above Gualberto Villarroel SJ in the table.

    #4 vs #15
  • Good recent formOriente Petrolero

    Oriente Petrolero have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Tighter defenseGualberto Villarroel SJ

    Gualberto Villarroel SJ are conceding just 1.7 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.7/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Gualberto Villarroel SJ at 53% — final result was a draw, Gualberto Villarroel SJ 3-3 Oriente Petrolero.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (91/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Gualberto Villarroel SJ1.87market 53.4% · model 53%
Oriente Petrolero3.37market 29.6% · model 24%
Draw3.70market 27% · model 23%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Gualberto Villarroel SJ have averaged 2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Oriente Petrolero have averaged 2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 6 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

3Gualberto Villarroel SJ wins
0Draws
3Oriente Petrolero wins
12-9Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Gualberto Villarroel SJ1.87best 2.00
Draw3.70best 3.95
Oriente Petrolero3.37best 3.95

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.46best 1.49
Under 2.52.49best 2.60

Both teams to score

Yes1.44best 1.50
No2.55best 2.75

Double chance

Gualberto Villarroel SJ/Draw1.24best 1.31
Gualberto Villarroel SJ/Oriente Petrolero1.20best 1.25
Draw/Oriente Petrolero1.83best 2.05

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.10best 1.10
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.40best 3.40
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.30best 1.30
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes7.00best 7.00

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Gualberto Villarroel SJ1.87 0.04
Draw3.70 0.01
Oriente Petrolero3.37 0.09
24 Aug25 Aug

Model vs market

Gualberto Villarroel SJ win+4.5pp
AI
53%
Market
48.5%
Draw-1.6pp
AI
23%
Market
24.6%
Oriente Petrolero win-2.9pp
AI
24%
Market
26.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
15
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
17287-814DLLD
4
Oriente Petrolero
17836+927WWWL

Pre-match comparison

2Goals scored per game2
1.7Goals conceded per game1.9

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Gualberto Villarroel SJ

0-15'
20%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
60%
76-90+'
20%

Oriente Petrolero

0-15'
6.7%
16-30'
20%
31-45'
20%
46-60'
20%
61-75'
6.7%
76-90+'
26.7%

More Primera División predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Oriente Petrolero?+

Our AI model favors Gualberto Villarroel SJ to win, with a 53% probability (Draw 23%, Oriente Petrolero 24%).

What time does Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Oriente Petrolero kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 25, 2026, 7:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).