Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad
Estadio Christian Benítez Betancourt, Guayaquil · Capacity 10,152 · artificial turf
Match events
- 18'D. Coronel (J. G. Rodriguez Perlaza)
- 24'V. Branda
- 60'K. Sambonino (Pablo Mancilla)
- 61'X. E. Pineda Arana
- 61'D. Coronel
- 62'E. Mero (Miller Bolaños)
- 63'D. Coronel (H. Batalla)
- 69'A. Chere (E. Caicedo)
- 69'C. Valencia (J. Bravo)
- 70'E. Cabezas (J. Quinonez)
- 78'E. Mero (Miller Bolaños)
- 79'V. Branda (Stick Castro)
- 81'J. G. Rodriguez Perlaza (Yerman Quinonez)
- 83'Dixon Arroyo
- 88'P. Gonzalez (D. Dorregaray)
- 88'Dixon Arroyo (J. Ordonez)
- 88'Dixon Arroyo (S. Laurino)
- 89'R. Arias (J. Ordonez)
- 1.7
- Goals/game
- 1.2
- 0.8
- Conceded/game
- 1.5
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
Data suggests a competitive matchup with Guayaquil City FC aiming to secure valuable points to escape relegation playoffs. Libertad enters this match with momentum from recent victories, but their away record underscores potential vulnerabilities on the road. With Guayaquil's recent defense being solid but struggling to score, a draw appears likely.
- Guayaquil City FC has drawn their last three matches 0-0 at home.
- Libertad has won three of their last five matches, showing strong recent form.
- Guayaquil City FC has struggled defensively, averaging 0.8 conceded per game in their last 10 matches.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Guayaquil City FC
- Historical edgeLibertad
Libertad have won 1 of the last 2 meetings between these two teams.
1/2 H2H wins - Tighter defenseGuayaquil City FC
Guayaquil City FC are conceding just 0.8 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.8/game conceded - Higher league positionLibertad
Libertad sit 3 places above Guayaquil City FC in the table.
#7 vs #10 - Good recent formGuayaquil City FC
Guayaquil City FC have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 1D 1L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Guayaquil City FC at 49% — final result was a draw, Guayaquil City FC 2-2 Libertad.
Predicted score was 1-1.
This was a high confidence pick (84/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Guayaquil City FC have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Libertad have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 |  Guayaquil City FC | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | -4 | 33 | DDLD |
| 7 |  Libertad | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 37 | DWWW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
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LDU de QuitoFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad?+
Our AI model favors Guayaquil City FC to win, with a 49% probability (Draw 28%, Libertad 23%).
Where is Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad played?+
The match is played at Estadio Christian Benítez Betancourt, Guayaquil (capacity 10,152).
What time does Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 9:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).