Guingamp vs Boulogne

Ligue 2· Regular Season - 2
Guingamp
10Full-time
Boulogne
LLLLGoals 6-1412th in league
LLDDGoals 6-1215th in league
Home1W 0D 0L(1-0)
Away0W 0D 1L(0-1)
Stade du Roudourou

Stade du Roudourou, Guingamp · Capacity 19,003 · grass · Referee: R. Landry

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 12'Tom Ducrocq
  2. 72'Akim Abdallah (V. Muntu Wa Mungu)
  3. 72'Teddy Averlant (S. Ben Brahim)
  4. 72'F. Sanchez Da Silva (Amadou Samoura)
  5. 72'B. Besic (Cheikh Dia)
  6. 75'Tom Ducrocq (Tanguy Ahile)
  7. 77'Cheikh Dia
  8. 78'Aurelien Platret (Adrien Pinot)
  9. 78'Joffrey Bultel (T. Epailly)
  10. 79'A. Hemia (J. Chamakh)
  11. 86'Stanislas Kielt
  12. 90+6'Abdel Hbouch
  13. 90'T. Brusco (A. Nassiri)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
GuingampBoulogne
0.6
Goals/game
0.6
1.4
Conceded/game
1.2

AI match analysis

Guingamp win
52.52%
Draw
27.07%
Boulogne win
20.41%
37.5%BTTS
29.6%Over 2.5
36.8%Guingamp clean sheet
40.7%Boulogne clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-0

Data suggests that Guingamp has a historical advantage over Boulogne, winning 3 of their last 4 matchups. However, Guingamp's recent form shows struggles in attack, averaging just 0.8 goals per game in their last 10 matches. Boulogne's inconsistent scoring, particularly in away games, may also play a critical role as they seek to build on their previous performance.

  • Guingamp has won 3 of the last 4 encounters against Boulogne
  • Guingamp's last 5 matches show they have struggled offensively, averaging only 0.8 goals scored
  • Boulogne is unbeaten in their last 5 matches against Guingamp at home, but they face recent issues scoring on the road
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
88/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Guingamp

  • Higher league positionGuingamp

    Guingamp sit 3 places above Boulogne in the table.

    #12 vs #15
  • Poor recent formGuingamp

    Guingamp have lost 5 of their last 5 matches.

    0W 0D 5L
  • Poor recent formBoulogne

    Boulogne have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    0W 2D 3L
  • Sharper attackBoulogne

    Boulogne are averaging 0.6 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    0.6/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pick✓ Exact score

We picked Guingamp at 52.52% — final result was Guingamp win, Guingamp 1-0 Boulogne.

Predicted score was 1-0.

This was a high confidence pick (88/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Guingamp1.84market 54.4% · model 52.52%
Draw3.40market 29.4% · model 27.07%
Boulogne4.31market 23.2% · model 20.41%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Guingamp have averaged 0.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Boulogne have averaged 0.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

1Guingamp wins
2Draws
1Boulogne wins
6-5Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Guingamp1.84best 1.90
Draw3.40best 3.65
Boulogne4.31best 4.80

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.07best 2.21
Under 2.51.73best 1.85

Both teams to score

Yes1.87best 1.93
No1.82best 1.90

Double chance

Guingamp/Draw1.19best 1.23
Guingamp/Boulogne1.27best 1.30
Draw/Boulogne1.95best 2.07

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.50best 4.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.18best 1.18
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.57best 1.57
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.25best 2.25

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Guingamp1.84 0.13
Draw3.40 0.26
Boulogne4.31 0.31
11 Aug14 Aug

Model vs market

Guingamp win+1.6pp
AI
52.52%
Market
50.9%
Draw-0.4pp
AI
27.07%
Market
27.5%
Boulogne win-1.3pp
AI
20.41%
Market
21.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
12
Guingamp
3102-13LWL
15
Boulogne
3021-12DLD

Pre-match comparison

0.6Goals scored per game0.6
1.4Goals conceded per game1.2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

R. Landry

5Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 2 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Guingamp

0-15'
25%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
25%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
50%
76-90+'
0%

Boulogne

0-15'
33.3%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
33.3%
61-75'
33.3%
76-90+'
0%

More Ligue 2 predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Guingamp vs Boulogne?+

Our AI model favors Guingamp to win, with a 52.52% probability (Draw 27.07%, Boulogne 20.41%).

Where is Guingamp vs Boulogne played?+

The match is played at Stade du Roudourou, Guingamp (capacity 19,003).

What time does Guingamp vs Boulogne kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 14, 2026, 6:45 PM (your local time, based on your device).