Gwangju FC vs Incheon United
Gwangju Football Stadium, Gwangju · Capacity 10,000 · grass
Match events
- 22'Kim Seong-Min
- 22'Joao Pedro
- 53'Teun van Grunsven (Min Sang-Gi)
- 55'Kim Seong-Min
- 58'Kim Seong-Min (S. Mugosa)
- 59'Kim Myung-soon (Choi Seung-gu)
- 65'J. Iredale (Kim Woo-jin)
- 65'H. Fridjonsson (Joung Ji-hun)
- 76'M. Ferrier (Leandro Ribeiro)
- 79'Kwon Sung-Yun
- 80'Joao Pedro (Lee Min-Ki)
- 80'Moon Min-seo (A. Ba Loua)
- 83'Joao Pedro (Lee Min-Ki)
- 84'Chung-Yong Lee
- 84'Gerso (Lee Dong-Ryul)
- 90+4'S. Mugosa
- 1.0
- Goals/game
- 0.9
- 0.7
- Conceded/game
- 1.2
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
The numbers favor Incheon United, who are currently in better form with three draws and two wins in their last five matches, contrasting with Gwangju FC's poor performance of one win and four losses. Historically, Incheon United has dominated their recent encounters, winning four of the last five head-to-head matches. Gwangju's struggles at home, with only one victory out of 12 games, further enhance Incheon United's chances.
- Incheon United unbeaten in last 4 matches
- Gwangju FC has only 1 home win this season
- Incheon United has a superior away record with 4 wins from 10 games
- Gwangju FC has a negative goal differential of -37 this season
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Incheon United
- Historical edgeIncheon United
Incheon United have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins - Weak home recordGwangju FC
Gwangju FC have won 1 of their last 13 home matches.
1/13 home wins - Strong away recordIncheon United
Incheon United have won 5 of their last 12 away matches.
5/12 away wins - Higher league positionIncheon United
Incheon United sit 4 places above Gwangju FC in the table.
#8 vs #12
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Incheon United at 54% — final result was Incheon United win, Gwangju FC 0-1 Incheon United.
Predicted score was 1-2.
This was a high confidence pick (89/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Gwangju FC have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Incheon United have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Incheon United
Gwangju FCGwangju FCIncheon UnitedIncheon UnitedGwangju FCGwangju FCIncheon UnitedGwangju FCIncheon UnitedIncheon UnitedGwangju FCIncheon UnitedGwangju FCGwangju FCIncheon UnitedOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 25 | 1 | 9 | 15 | -38 | 12 | LLDL |
| 8 | Incheon United | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | +4 | 33 | WDDD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Gwangju FC
Incheon United
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Daejeon CitizenFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Gwangju FC vs Incheon United?+
Our AI model favors Incheon United to win, with a 54% probability (Draw 26%, Gwangju FC 20%).
Where is Gwangju FC vs Incheon United played?+
The match is played at Gwangju Football Stadium, Gwangju (capacity 10,000).
What time does Gwangju FC vs Incheon United kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 10:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).