Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers — K League 1

K League 1· Regular Season - 23

Gwangju FC

1–2Full-time

Pohang Steelers

LWDWLDGoals 9-612th in league

DWLWLWGoals 10-116th in league

Home1W 4D 8L(9-24)

Away7W 2D 5L(20-19)

Gwangju Football Stadium, Gwangju · Capacity 10,000 · grass

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

38'J. Tranziska (Park Chan-Yong)
46'Hwang Seo-Woong (Kang Min-Jun)
53'Ri Yong-jik
59'Sung-Yueng Ki (Chang-woo Lee)
68'Moon Min-seo (Yu Je-Ho)
68'Ri Yong-jik (Kim Woo-jin)
68'Han-min Jung (Won Ki-Jong)
74'Kwon Sung-Yun (Ha Seung-Un)
82'Kyoung-Rok Choi (Kim Jong-Suk)
82'Shin Chang-Moo (D. Ba Loua)
82'Shin Chang-Moo
84'J. Iredale (Kim Woo-jin)
86'Min-kwang Jeon (Jin Si-woo)
86'J. Tranziska (Jorge Luiz)
90+7'Wanderson

Lineups unavailable for this match.

Gwangju FCPohang Steelers

0.9
Goals/game: 1.0; 0.6
Conceded/game: 1.1

AI match analysis

Gwangju FC win

23.78%

Draw

29.12%

Pohang Steelers win

47.1%

34.8%BTTS

26.9%Over 2.5

44.9%Gwangju FC clean sheet

36.8%Pohang Steelers clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests a challenging matchup for Gwangju FC, as they sit at the bottom of the standings with a recent poor form. Pohang Steelers, despite their current losing streak, have performed better overall this season and have historically had the upper hand against Gwangju. Given these trends, a close match is expected, with a predicted score of 1-2 in favor of the visiting team.

Pohang Steelers have lost their last 5 matches, indicating poor form.
Gwangju FC's recent home performance includes 2 wins out of their last 5 matchups.
Historically, Pohang Steelers have a slight upper hand in head-to-head encounters, winning 3 out of the last 5 matches.

AI ConfidenceHigh confidence

82/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Pohang Steelers

Poor recent formPohang Steelers
Pohang Steelers have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L
Weak home recordGwangju FC
Gwangju FC have won 1 of their last 13 home matches.
1/13 home wins
Strong away recordPohang Steelers
Pohang Steelers have won 7 of their last 14 away matches.
7/14 away wins
Historical edgePohang Steelers
Pohang Steelers have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pick✓ Exact score

We picked Pohang Steelers at 47.1% — final result was Pohang Steelers win, Gwangju FC 1-2 Pohang Steelers.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (82/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Pohang Steelers ✓2.04market 49.1% · model 47.1%

Draw3.11market 32.2% · model 29.12%

Gwangju FC3.77market 26.5% · model 23.78%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Gwangju FC have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Pohang Steelers have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Gwangju FC wins

2Draws

4Pohang Steelers wins

6-8Goals

Pohang Steelers

1–0Aug 10, 2025, 10:00 AM

Gwangju FC

Pohang Steelers

0–1May 18, 2025, 7:30 AM

Gwangju FC

2–3Mar 22, 2025, 7:30 AM

Pohang Steelers

Gwangju FC

2–1Sep 13, 2024, 10:30 AM

Pohang Steelers

Gwangju FC

0–1May 28, 2024, 10:30 AM

Pohang Steelers

1–0Mar 17, 2024, 5:00 AM

Gwangju FC

0–0Dec 3, 2023, 5:00 AM

Pohang Steelers

1–1Aug 13, 2023, 11:00 AM

Gwangju FC

Odds comparison

Match winner

Gwangju FC3.77▼best 4.10

Draw3.11▼best 3.30

Pohang Steelers2.04▲best 2.13

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.40best 2.52

Under 2.51.53▼best 1.55

Both teams to score

Yes2.05▼best 2.10

No1.68▲best 1.73

Double chance

Gwangju FC/Draw1.73▼best 1.80

Gwangju FC/Pohang Steelers1.32best 1.35

Draw/Pohang Steelers1.24▲best 1.30

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.50▼best 3.50

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.20▲best 2.20

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.62▼best 1.62

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.28▲best 1.28

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Gwangju FC3.77▼ 0.49

Draw3.11▼ 0.04

Pohang Steelers2.04▲ 0.16

12 Aug – 15 Aug

Model vs market

Gwangju FC win-0.8pp

23.78%

Market

24.6%

Draw-0.8pp

29.12%

Market

29.9%

Pohang Steelers win+1.6pp

47.1%

Market

45.5%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.