Hangzhou Greentown vs Chengdu Better City — Super League

Super League· Regular Season - 23

Hangzhou Greentown

2–3Full-time

Chengdu Better City

WDDLDDGoals 19-1811th in league

DLLLLLGoals 13-181st in league

Home5W 3D 3L(18-17)

Away7W 3D 2L(20-16)

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

4'Park Jin-Seob (Cheng Jin)
16'Park Jin-Seob
20'A. Mitriță
25'Ziming Wang
25'Goal Disallowed - video review — Ziming Wang
35'Qianglong Tao
42'Felipe Silva (Ziming Wang)
45'Felipe Silva (Wei Shihao)
45'Goal Disallowed - video review — Felipe Silva
46'Liu Haofan (Tong Lei)
57'Pengfei Han
60'Felipe Silva
65'Qianglong Tao (M. Tolić)
65'Ziming Wang (Rômulo)
68'Lucas Possignolo
69'Felipe Silva (Hetao Hu)
71'Ming Yang Yang
77'Ming Yang Yang (Chao Gan)
77'He Yiran (Alex Jojo)
82'Cheng Jin (Alexander N'Doumbou)
83'Felippe Cardoso (Di Gao)
88'Felipe Silva (Baihelamu Abuduwaili)
90'Baihelamu Abuduwaili (Wei Shihao)

Lineups unavailable for this match.

Hangzhou GreentownChengdu Better City

1.9
Goals/game: 1.3; 1.8
Conceded/game: 1.8

AI match analysis

Hangzhou Greentown win

31.64%

Draw

24.04%

Chengdu Better City win

44.32%

66.4%BTTS

66%Over 2.5

21.2%Hangzhou Greentown clean sheet

15.7%Chengdu Better City clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests that Chengdu Better City comes into this match as the stronger team, sitting at the top of the league while Hangzhou Greentown is 9th with inconsistent recent form. The recent head-to-head history also favors Chengdu, coupled with Hangzhou's struggles despite a decent home record. Expected scoring averages indicate a closer contest, but the away team's overall performance might see them edge this game.

Chengdu Better City ranked 1st in the league with 45 points from 22 games.
Hangzhou Greentown has only won 1 of their last 5 matches.
Chengdu has a strong away record of 6 wins from 11 matches this season.
Recent head-to-head results show Chengdu has faced Hangzhou favorably, including a 3-3 draw last time out.

AI ConfidenceHigh confidence

77/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Chengdu Better City

Higher league positionChengdu Better City
Chengdu Better City sit 10 places above Hangzhou Greentown in the table.
#1 vs #11
Sharper attackHangzhou Greentown
Hangzhou Greentown are averaging 1.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.9/game
Historical edgeChengdu Better City
Chengdu Better City have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins
Poor recent formChengdu Better City
Chengdu Better City have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
0W 1D 4L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 44% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Chengdu Better City at 44.32% — final result was Chengdu Better City win, Hangzhou Greentown 2-3 Chengdu Better City.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (77/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Chengdu Better City ✓2.16market 46.3% · model 44.32%

Hangzhou Greentown2.88market 34.7% · model 31.64%

Draw3.75market 26.6% · model 24.04%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Hangzhou Greentown have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Chengdu Better City have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1Hangzhou Greentown wins

3Draws

4Chengdu Better City wins

9-16Goals

Hangzhou Greentown

3–3Sep 26, 2025, 12:00 PM

Chengdu Better City

2–1May 5, 2025, 11:35 AM

Hangzhou Greentown

1–3Jul 28, 2024, 11:35 AM

Chengdu Better City

3–0Apr 10, 2024, 11:35 AM

Hangzhou Greentown

Chengdu Better City

1–2Jul 29, 2023, 11:35 AM

Hangzhou Greentown

0–2Apr 30, 2023, 7:30 AM

Chengdu Better City

Hangzhou Greentown

1–1Dec 15, 2022, 11:30 AM

Chengdu Better City

1–1Oct 24, 2022, 7:00 AM

Hangzhou Greentown

Odds comparison

Match winner

Hangzhou Greentown2.88▲best 3.04

Draw3.75▼best 4.00

Chengdu Better City2.16▼best 2.25

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.38best 1.42

Under 2.52.81▼best 2.93

Both teams to score

Yes1.35best 1.38

No2.90▼best 3.00

Double chance

Hangzhou Greentown/Draw1.66▲best 1.70

Hangzhou Greentown/Chengdu Better City1.23best 1.26

Draw/Chengdu Better City1.37▼best 1.44

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.20▲best 1.20

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.33▼best 4.33

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.12▼best 1.12

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes6.00▲best 6.00

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Hangzhou Greentown2.88▲ 0.16

Draw3.75▲ 0.09

Chengdu Better City2.16▼ 0.06

12 Aug – 15 Aug

Model vs market

Hangzhou Greentown win-0.6pp

31.64%

Market

32.2%

Draw-0.7pp

24.04%

Market

24.7%

Chengdu Better City win+1.3pp

44.32%

Market

43%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.