Hansa Rostock vs VfB Stuttgart

DFB Pokal· Round of 64
LLWDGoals 16-23
LLWLGoals 19-13
Ostseestadion

Ostseestadion, Rostock · Capacity 29,000 · grass · Referee: S. Stegemann

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 9'Nikolas Nartey (Josha Vagnoman)
  2. 18'Dženan Pejčinović (Tiago Tomás)
  3. 32'Angelo Stiller
  4. 33'F. Bohnert
  5. 37'Dženan Pejčinović (Deniz Undav)
  6. 68'Y. Michaelis (O. Karada)
  7. 68'F. Bohnert (M. Krauss)
  8. 68'Chris Führich (Bilal El Khannouss)
  9. 74'Tiago Tomás (Deniz Undav)
  10. 76'L. Dajaku (B. Lennemann)
  11. 76'B. Dietze (Marco Schuster)
  12. 82'Dženan Pejčinović (Josha Vagnoman)
  13. 85'Andreas Voglsammer (D. Hummel)
  14. 86'Tiago Tomás (Ameen Al-Dakhil)
  15. 86'Dženan Pejčinović (Ermedin Demirović)
  16. 86'Angelo Stiller (Chema Andrés)

Lineups

Hansa RostockVfB Stuttgart
1.6
Goals/game
1.9
2.3
Conceded/game
1.3

AI match analysis

Hansa Rostock win
8%
Draw
14%
VfB Stuttgart win
78%
67.2%BTTS
68.8%Over 2.5
12.2%Hansa Rostock clean sheet
23.5%VfB Stuttgart clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Analysis suggests VfB Stuttgart is favored based on their recent form and head-to-head advantage. Hansa Rostock's struggle defensively, conceding an average of 2.3 goals per game, could be a significant factor. With VfB Stuttgart averaging 1.9 goals scored per game, they may find success in this matchup.

  • VfB Stuttgart has won the last 2 encounters against Hansa Rostock.
  • Hansa Rostock averages 1.6 goals scored but 2.3 conceded in their last 10 matches.
  • VfB Stuttgart scored 1.9 goals per game in their last 10 matches with a positive xG average.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
86/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors VfB Stuttgart

  • Tighter defenseVfB Stuttgart

    VfB Stuttgart are conceding just 1.3 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.3/game conceded
  • Historical edgeVfB Stuttgart

    VfB Stuttgart have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two teams.

    2/3 H2H wins
  • Poor recent formVfB Stuttgart

    VfB Stuttgart have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 0D 4L
  • Sharper attackVfB Stuttgart

    VfB Stuttgart are averaging 1.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.9/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked VfB Stuttgart at 78% — final result was VfB Stuttgart win, Hansa Rostock 0-4 VfB Stuttgart.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (86/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

VfB Stuttgart1.22market 82.3% · model 78%
Draw6.26market 16% · model 14%
Hansa Rostock11.54market 8.7% · model 8%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Hansa Rostock have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • VfB Stuttgart have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 of the last 3 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 0 of the last 3 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

1Hansa Rostock wins
0Draws
2VfB Stuttgart wins
2-2Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Hansa Rostock11.54best 13.00
Draw6.26best 7.00
VfB Stuttgart1.22best 1.27

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.38best 1.42
Under 2.52.81best 3.00

Both teams to score

Yes1.85best 1.95
No1.84best 1.91

Double chance

Hansa Rostock/Draw4.04best 4.33
Hansa Rostock/VfB Stuttgart1.10best 1.13
Draw/VfB Stuttgart1.03best 1.06

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes13.00best 13.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.04best 1.04
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.80best 1.80
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes1.91best 1.91

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Hansa Rostock11.54 2.01
Draw6.26 0.94
VfB Stuttgart1.22
18 Aug21 Aug

Model vs market

Hansa Rostock win-0.1pp
AI
8%
Market
8.1%
Draw-0.9pp
AI
14%
Market
14.9%
VfB Stuttgart win+1.1pp
AI
78%
Market
76.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.6Goals scored per game1.9
2.3Goals conceded per game1.3

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

S. Stegemann

4.67Yellow cards / game
0.33Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 6 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Hansa Rostock

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
33.3%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
33.3%

VfB Stuttgart

0-15'
18.8%
16-30'
18.8%
31-45'
18.8%
46-60'
18.8%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
25%

More DFB Pokal predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Hansa Rostock vs VfB Stuttgart?+

Our AI model favors VfB Stuttgart to win, with a 78% probability (Draw 14%, Hansa Rostock 8%).

Where is Hansa Rostock vs VfB Stuttgart played?+

The match is played at Ostseestadion, Rostock (capacity 29,000).

What time does Hansa Rostock vs VfB Stuttgart kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 21, 2026, 6:45 PM (your local time, based on your device).