Hapoel Katamon vs Maccabi Tel Aviv

Ligat Ha'al· Regular Season - 1
WLWWGoals 8-913th in league
WWLDGoals 19-131st in league
Home0W 0D 1L(2-5)
Away1W 0D 0L(5-2)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 1'Vitalie Damașcan (S. Zuberu)
  2. 24'R. Revivo (Osher Davida)
  3. 44'N. Malmud
  4. 45+2'Dor Peretz
  5. 46'O. Abuhav (I. Madmon)
  6. 46'S. Zuberu (O. Almagor)
  7. 53'Raz Shlomo
  8. 62'I. Dappa (N. Vrasana)
  9. 63'Dor Peretz (Hélio Varela)
  10. 64'E. Sokler (Saied Abu Farchi)
  11. 64'Hélio Varela (Hisham Layous)
  12. 64'I. Shahar (Dan Glazer)
  13. 68'Saied Abu Farchi
  14. 68'Christ Junior Tiehi (Y. A. Distelfeld)
  15. 71'Dor Peretz (N. Ben Harush)
  16. 72'Christ Junior Tiehi (Y. A. Distelfeld)
  17. 74'Raz Shlomo (Mohamed Aly Camara)
  18. 74'I. Cohen (Y. Laish)
  19. 76'Dor Peretz (Ilay Ben Simon)
  20. 77'Ofek Melika
  21. 87'Osher Davida
  22. 90+2'O. Almagor
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Hapoel KatamonMaccabi Tel Aviv
0.8
Goals/game
1.9
0.9
Conceded/game
1.3

AI match analysis

Hapoel Katamon win
14%
Draw
22%
Maccabi Tel Aviv win
64%
49%BTTS
44.3%Over 2.5
24.7%Hapoel Katamon clean sheet
35%Maccabi Tel Aviv clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Analysis indicates that Maccabi Tel Aviv has a strong historical advantage over Hapoel Katamon, winning 4 of the last 5 encounters. While Hapoel Katamon boasts recent form with four wins from their last five matches, Maccabi's attacking prowess, averaging 2 goals per game recently, suggests they might secure a win.

  • Maccabi Tel Aviv historically unbeaten in last 5 meetings against Hapoel Katamon
  • Hapoel Katamon has a solid recent form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches
  • Maccabi Tel Aviv averages 2 goals scored per game in their last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Maccabi Tel Aviv

  • Historical edgeMaccabi Tel Aviv

    Maccabi Tel Aviv have won 8 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    8/8 H2H wins
  • Sharper attackMaccabi Tel Aviv

    Maccabi Tel Aviv are averaging 1.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.9/game
  • Good recent formHapoel Katamon

    Hapoel Katamon have won 4 of their last 5 matches.

    4W 0D 1L
  • Tighter defenseHapoel Katamon

    Hapoel Katamon are conceding just 0.9 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.9/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Maccabi Tel Aviv at 64% — final result was Maccabi Tel Aviv win, Hapoel Katamon 2-5 Maccabi Tel Aviv.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Maccabi Tel Aviv1.43market 69.8% · model 64%
Draw4.27market 23.4% · model 22%
Hapoel Katamon6.12market 16.3% · model 14%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Hapoel Katamon have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Maccabi Tel Aviv have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

0Hapoel Katamon wins
0Draws
8Maccabi Tel Aviv wins
8-18Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Hapoel Katamon6.12best 6.85
Draw4.27best 4.40
Maccabi Tel Aviv1.43best 1.47

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.73best 1.77
Under 2.52.04best 2.08

Both teams to score

Yes1.85best 1.91
No1.85best 1.95

Double chance

Hapoel Katamon/Draw2.58best 2.65
Hapoel Katamon/Maccabi Tel Aviv1.17best 1.22
Draw/Maccabi Tel Aviv1.09best 1.13

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.00best 2.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.73best 1.73
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes6.50best 6.50
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.11best 1.11

Average and best price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Hapoel Katamon6.12 0.37
Draw4.27
Maccabi Tel Aviv1.43 0.02
23 Aug23 Aug

Model vs market

Hapoel Katamon win-0.9pp
AI
14%
Market
14.9%
Draw+0.6pp
AI
22%
Market
21.4%
Maccabi Tel Aviv win+0.3pp
AI
64%
Market
63.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
13
Hapoel Katamon
1001-30L
1
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1100+33W

Pre-match comparison

0.8Goals scored per game1.9
0.9Goals conceded per game1.3

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Hapoel Katamon

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
25%
76-90+'
75%

Maccabi Tel Aviv

0-15'
12.5%
16-30'
25%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
12.5%
61-75'
50%
76-90+'
0%

More Ligat Ha'al predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Hapoel Katamon vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?+

Our AI model favors Maccabi Tel Aviv to win, with a 64% probability (Draw 22%, Hapoel Katamon 14%).

What time does Hapoel Katamon vs Maccabi Tel Aviv kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 5:15 PM (your local time, based on your device).