Hawthorn Hawks vs Collingwood Magpies
Melbourne Cricket Ground
Score
| Team | Goals | Behinds | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 14 | 92 | |
| 13 | 14 | 92 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 100-78
Data suggests that the Hawthorn Hawks are in solid form, having secured victories in three of their last five matches, while averaging nearly 90 points per game. Conversely, the Collingwood Magpies have struggled recently, with only two wins in their last five and averaging just under 75 points scored in their last ten. Historically, the Hawks have shown a strong advantage in their recent head-to-head matchups, winning four of the last five encounters against the Magpies, which may influence the outcome in this upcoming clash.
- Hawthorn Hawks won 3 of their last 5 matches
- Hawthorn Hawks average 89.7 points scored in last 10 games
- Collingwood Magpies lost 3 of their last 5 matches
- Hawthorn Hawks have dominated recent head-to-head, winning 4 of the last 5 encounters
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Hawthorn Hawks
- Good recent formHawthorn Hawks
Hawthorn Hawks have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 1D 1L - Poor recent formCollingwood Magpies
Collingwood Magpies have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Tighter defenseHawthorn Hawks
Hawthorn Hawks are conceding just 77.9 points per game over their recent matches.
77.9/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Hawthorn Hawks at 65% — final result was a draw, Hawthorn Hawks 92-92 Collingwood Magpies.
Predicted score was 100-78.
This was a high confidence pick (80/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Match trends
- Hawthorn Hawks have averaged 101.2 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Collingwood Magpies have averaged 96.7 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Hawthorn Hawks are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Collingwood Magpies.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
Ladder
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 19 | 0 | 4 | +620 | 76 | WLWW | |
| 2 | 23 | 18 | 0 | 5 | +674 | 72 | WWWW | |
| 3 | 23 | 16 | 0 | 7 | +445 | 64 | WWLW | |
| 4 | 23 | 15 | 2 | 6 | +379 | 64 | DLWW | |
| 5 | 23 | 15 | 0 | 8 | +430 | 60 | WWWW | |
| 6 | 23 | 15 | 0 | 8 | +320 | 60 | LWWL | |
| 7 | 23 | 15 | 0 | 8 | +202 | 60 | WWWL | |
| 8 | 23 | 13 | 1 | 9 | -91 | 54 | DLLW | |
| 9 | 23 | 12 | 2 | 9 | +47 | 52 | DWLW | |
| 10 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 10 | +29 | 50 | DWWW | |
| 11 | 23 | 10 | 0 | 13 | +56 | 40 | WLLW | |
| 12 | 23 | 10 | 0 | 13 | -22 | 40 | WLWL | |
| 13 | 23 | 9 | 0 | 14 | -117 | 36 | LWLL | |
| 14 | 23 | 9 | 0 | 14 | -243 | 36 | LWLL | |
| 15 | 23 | 7 | 0 | 16 | -245 | 28 | LLLL | |
| 16 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 19 | -718 | 16 | LLLL | |
| 17 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 20 | -890 | 12 | LLWL | |
| 18 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 21 | -876 | 8 | LLLL |
More AFL Premiership predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Hawthorn Hawks vs Collingwood Magpies?+
Our AI model favors Hawthorn Hawks to win, with a 65% probability (Collingwood Magpies 35%).
What time does Hawthorn Hawks vs Collingwood Magpies start?+
First bounce is at Aug 15, 2026, 9:40 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the final score in Hawthorn Hawks vs Collingwood Magpies?+
Hawthorn Hawks: 13.14 (92). Collingwood Magpies: 13.14 (92).

