Hawthorn Hawks vs Collingwood Magpies

AFL Premiership· Regular Season 23
WLDWPoints 1012-7794th on the ladder · 15-6-2
WDLLPoints 967-9409th on the ladder · 12-9-2
Home16W 1D 3L(1891-1408)
Away11W 1D 8L(1750-1629)

Melbourne Cricket Ground

Today
First Bounce
In Progress
Final

Score

TeamGoalsBehindsFinal
Hawthorn Hawks
131492
Collingwood Magpies
131492

AI match analysis

Hawthorn Hawks win
65%
Draw
10%
Collingwood Magpies win
25%

Predicted score: 100-78

Data suggests that the Hawthorn Hawks are in solid form, having secured victories in three of their last five matches, while averaging nearly 90 points per game. Conversely, the Collingwood Magpies have struggled recently, with only two wins in their last five and averaging just under 75 points scored in their last ten. Historically, the Hawks have shown a strong advantage in their recent head-to-head matchups, winning four of the last five encounters against the Magpies, which may influence the outcome in this upcoming clash.

  • Hawthorn Hawks won 3 of their last 5 matches
  • Hawthorn Hawks average 89.7 points scored in last 10 games
  • Collingwood Magpies lost 3 of their last 5 matches
  • Hawthorn Hawks have dominated recent head-to-head, winning 4 of the last 5 encounters
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
80/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Hawthorn Hawks

  • Good recent formHawthorn Hawks

    Hawthorn Hawks have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L
  • Poor recent formCollingwood Magpies

    Collingwood Magpies have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 1D 3L
  • Tighter defenseHawthorn Hawks

    Hawthorn Hawks are conceding just 77.9 points per game over their recent matches.

    77.9/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Hawthorn Hawks at 65% — final result was a draw, Hawthorn Hawks 92-92 Collingwood Magpies.

Predicted score was 100-78.

This was a high confidence pick (80/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Match trends

  • Hawthorn Hawks have averaged 101.2 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Collingwood Magpies have averaged 96.7 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Hawthorn Hawks are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Collingwood Magpies.
Odds not available for this match yet.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2Hawthorn Hawks wins
1Draws
2Collingwood Magpies wins
464-390Points

Ladder

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
1
Fremantle Dockers
231904+62076WLWW
2
Sydney Swans
231805+67472WWWW
3
Brisbane Lions
231607+44564WWLW
4
Hawthorn Hawks
231526+37964DLWW
5
Geelong Cats
231508+43060WWWW
6
Adelaide Crows
231508+32060LWWL
7
Melbourne Demons
231508+20260WWWL
8
Western Bulldogs
231319-9154DLLW
9
Collingwood Magpies
231229+4752DWLW
10
Carlton Blues
2312110+2950DWWW
11
St Kilda Saints
2310013+5640WLLW
12
Greater Western Sydney Giants
2310013-2240WLWL
13
Gold Coast Suns
239014-11736LWLL
14
North Melbourne Kangaroos
239014-24336LWLL
15
Port Adelaide Power
237016-24528LLLL
16
West Coast Eagles
234019-71816LLLL
17
Richmond Tigers
233020-89012LLWL
18
Essendon Bombers
232021-8768LLLL

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Hawthorn Hawks vs Collingwood Magpies?+

Our AI model favors Hawthorn Hawks to win, with a 65% probability (Collingwood Magpies 35%).

What time does Hawthorn Hawks vs Collingwood Magpies start?+

First bounce is at Aug 15, 2026, 9:40 AM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the final score in Hawthorn Hawks vs Collingwood Magpies?+

Hawthorn Hawks: 13.14 (92). Collingwood Magpies: 13.14 (92).