Heart Of Midlothian vs Benfica
Match events
- 34'C. Braga
- 46'C. Lenglet (Tomás Araújo)
- 54'C. Miller (J. McPake)
- 54'Goal Disallowed - offside — C. Miller
- 64'E. Barrenechea (Leandro Barreiro)
- 64'G. Sudakov (G. Prestianni)
- 64'T. Renaud (T. Magnusson)
- 75'Severin Sabri Guendouz (S. Kerjota)
- 76'C. Braga (P. Kabore)
- 76'C. Miller (J. Wilson)
- 77'T. Magnusson
- 79'A. Schjelderup (Rafa Silva)
- 79'D. Lukebakio
- 80'D. Lukebakio (Jakub Kamiński)
- 84'O. McEntee (Michael John Kamara)
- 2.5
- Goals/game
- 2.4
- 1.2
- Conceded/game
- 1.1
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
Data suggests Benfica has a stronger attacking threat compared to Heart of Midlothian, averaging 3.11 xG per game. Conversely, while Heart of Midlothian has shown solid form at home, their opposition’s recent performance indicates a challenging matchup, with Benfica likely to capitalize on their scoring opportunities.
- Heart of Midlothian has scored 1.9 goals on average over their last 10 matches.
- Benfica has conceded 1.4 goals per match in their last 10 matches.
- Benfica's xG average of 3.11 suggests a potent attacking threat despite recent losses.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Benfica
- Good recent formHeart Of Midlothian
Heart Of Midlothian have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 1D 1L - Good recent formBenfica
Benfica have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 1D 1L - Sharper attackHeart Of Midlothian
Heart Of Midlothian are averaging 2.5 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.5/game - Tighter defenseHeart Of Midlothian
Heart Of Midlothian are conceding just 1.2 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.2/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Benfica at 67.4% — final result was a draw, Heart Of Midlothian 1-1 Benfica.
Predicted score was 1-2.
This was a high confidence pick (80/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Heart Of Midlothian have averaged 2.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Benfica have averaged 2.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
S. van der Eijk
Based on 11 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Heart Of Midlothian
Benfica
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Heart Of Midlothian vs Benfica?+
Our AI model favors Benfica to win, with a 67.4% probability (Draw 18.15%, Heart Of Midlothian 14.45%).
What time does Heart Of Midlothian vs Benfica kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 13, 2026, 6:45 PM (your local time, based on your device).