Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Johnstone
Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh · Capacity 20,099 · grass · Referee: R. Lee
Match events
- 9'James wilson (Josh Mcpake)
- 39'Laurent mendy
- 39'Enes Alıç
- 48'Ruari Paton (Sam Stanton)
- 57'Laurent mendy (Blair Spittal)
- 57'James wilson (Pierre Landry Kabore)
- 72'Sam Stanton (Macaulay Tait)
- 73'Ruari Paton (Kai Fotheringham)
- 73'Jamie Gullan (Taylor Steven)
- 81'Sabah Kerjota (Calvin Miller)
- 90+2'Liam Smith (Matty Todd)
- 90+2'Liam Smith (Logan Chalmers)
- 2.3
- Goals/game
- 1.7
- 1.2
- Conceded/game
- 0.4
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests that Heart Of Midlothian holds a strong advantage in their recent matchups against ST Johnstone, having won their last five encounters. With a scoring average of 2.3 goals per game, they currently demonstrate a potent offensive form, while ST Johnstone's recent away record shows limited success, losing their only away match this season.
- Heart Of Midlothian has won their last 4 meetings against ST Johnstone
- Heart Of Midlothian scored an average of 2.3 goals in their last 10 matches
- ST Johnstone has conceded an average of 0.4 goals in their last 10 matches
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Heart Of Midlothian
- Strong home recordHeart Of Midlothian
Heart Of Midlothian have won 1 of their last 1 home matches.
1/1 home wins - Weak away recordST Johnstone
ST Johnstone have won 0 of their last 1 away matches.
0/1 away wins - Historical edgeHeart Of Midlothian
Heart Of Midlothian have won 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
6/8 H2H wins - Strong recent formHeart Of Midlothian
Heart Of Midlothian are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 3 wins.
3W 2D 0L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
Match trends
- Heart Of Midlothian have averaged 2.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- ST Johnstone have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
ST Johnstone
Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of MidlothianST JohnstoneST JohnstoneHeart Of MidlothianHeart Of MidlothianST JohnstoneST JohnstoneHeart Of MidlothianHeart Of MidlothianST JohnstoneST JohnstoneHeart Of MidlothianHeart Of MidlothianST JohnstoneOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 | WL |
| 6 | ST Johnstone | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | LW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
R. Lee
Based on 2 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Heart Of Midlothian
ST Johnstone
More Premiership predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Johnstone?+
Our AI model favors Heart Of Midlothian to win, with a 55% probability (Draw 24%, ST Johnstone 21%).
Where is Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Johnstone played?+
The match is played at Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh (capacity 20,099).
What time does Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Johnstone kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 29, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).