Hegelmann Litauen vs Banga

A Lyga· Regular Season - 28
WLWLGoals 12-107th in league
WDLWGoals 16-125th in league
Home2W 8D 3L(17-18)
Away6W 4D 4L(15-10)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 21'M. Sato
  2. 37'Nathan Silva
  3. 38'V. Magdusauskas
  4. 46'D. Kazlauskas
  5. 52'D. Norvilas
  6. 59'D. Norvilas (M. Sheriff)
  7. 64'D. Kazlauskas (A. Kaulinis)
  8. 68'L. Paukštė
  9. 70'V. Magdusauskas (V. Magdusauskas)
  10. 75'A. Shchedryi (D. Pasilys)
  11. 75'M. Remeikis (Samuel Oum Gouet)
  12. 75'I. Venckus (A. Appiah)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Hegelmann LitauenBanga
1.2
Goals/game
1.6
1.0
Conceded/game
1.2

AI match analysis

Hegelmann Litauen win
27%
Draw
27%
Banga win
46%
50.8%BTTS
45.6%Over 2.5
27.3%Hegelmann Litauen clean sheet
30.1%Banga clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The numbers favor Banga as they come into this match with strong recent form, winning three of their last five games, while Hegelmann Litauen has only picked up two wins in their last five. Historically, the encounters have tended to be closely matched, but Banga's superior league standing and away performance this season may give them an advantage. With both teams showcasing varying scoring stats, a competitive match is anticipated.

  • Banga unbeaten in last 2 away matches
  • Hegelmann Litauen has lost 3 of their last 5 matches
  • Banga has a stronger overall league position and goal difference
  • Head-to-head matches have been closely contested, but Banga has a slight edge
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
82/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Banga

  • Weak home recordHegelmann Litauen

    Hegelmann Litauen have won 2 of their last 13 home matches.

    2/13 home wins
  • Strong away recordBanga

    Banga have won 6 of their last 14 away matches.

    6/14 away wins
  • Historical edgeHegelmann Litauen

    Hegelmann Litauen have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    4/8 H2H wins
  • Higher league positionBanga

    Banga sit 2 places above Hegelmann Litauen in the table.

    #5 vs #7

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Banga at 46% — final result was a draw, Hegelmann Litauen 1-1 Banga.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (82/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Banga1.97market 50.8% · model 46%
Draw3.22market 31.1% · model 27%
Hegelmann Litauen3.37market 29.7% · model 27%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Hegelmann Litauen have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Banga have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4Hegelmann Litauen wins
3Draws
1Banga wins
13-7Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Hegelmann Litauen3.37best 3.50
Draw3.22best 3.40
Banga1.97best 2.03

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.93best 2.02
Under 2.51.74best 1.81

Both teams to score

Yes1.76best 1.83
No1.88best 1.93

Double chance

Hegelmann Litauen/Draw1.70best 1.80
Hegelmann Litauen/Banga1.24best 1.30
Draw/Banga1.23best 1.26

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.62best 2.62
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.44best 1.44
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes4.00best 4.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.22best 1.22

Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Hegelmann Litauen3.37 0.06
Draw3.22 0.09
Banga1.97 0.04
20 Aug23 Aug

Model vs market

Hegelmann Litauen win+0.4pp
AI
27%
Market
26.6%
Draw-0.8pp
AI
27%
Market
27.8%
Banga win+0.5pp
AI
46%
Market
45.5%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
7
Hegelmann Litauen
2541110-1523LLLW
5
Banga
241077+737WLWL

Pre-match comparison

1.2Goals scored per game1.6
1Goals conceded per game1.2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Banga

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
33.3%
61-75'
33.3%
76-90+'
0%

More A Lyga predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Hegelmann Litauen vs Banga?+

Our AI model favors Banga to win, with a 46% probability (Draw 27%, Hegelmann Litauen 27%).

What time does Hegelmann Litauen vs Banga kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 3:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).