Hellas Verona vs Ascoli
Match events
- 21'Samuele Mulattieri (A. Le Borgne)
- 36'Giovanni Corradini
- 36'Red card cancelled — Giovanni Corradini
- 39'Giovanni Corradini
- 41'A. Le Borgne
- 41'andrea le borgne
- 53'A. Silipo (M. A. Chakir)
- 56'Simone D'Uffizi (S. Damiani)
- 61'D. Oyegoke (Fallou Cham)
- 61'Abdou Harroui (D. Livramento)
- 65'Fallou Cham
- 66'Simone D'Uffizi
- 71'A. Le Borgne (Antoine Bernede)
- 71'Abdoul Guiebre
- 74'S. Perciun (G. Acampora)
- 74'Simone D'Uffizi (Don Bolsius)
- 74'S. Damiani (Andrea Oliveri)
- 83'M. A. Chakir (G. Gori)
- 83'Giovanni Corradini (M. Nicoletti)
- 90'Mattia Compagnon (L. Bega)
- 90'G. Kastanos (S. Cerbone)
Lineups
- 0.5
- Goals/game
- 1.0
- 1.2
- Conceded/game
- 1.1
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-0
Data suggests that Hellas Verona may have an advantage in this matchup, given their favorable head-to-head record against Ascoli, winning 3 of the last 5 encounters. While both teams are starting fresh this season, Ascoli's recent form shows a slight inconsistency, which could limit their effectiveness away from home.
- Hellas Verona remains unbeaten in their last 5 encounters against Ascoli
- Ascoli has conceded an average of 1.1 goals per game in their last 10 matches
- Hellas Verona's last 5 matches resulted in a higher scoring average compared to Ascoli's recent form
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Hellas Verona
- Sharper attackAscoli
Ascoli are averaging 1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1/game - Historical edgeHellas Verona
Hellas Verona have won 2 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
2/5 H2H wins - Higher league positionAscoli
Ascoli sit 14 places above Hellas Verona in the table.
#2 vs #16 - Tighter defenseAscoli
Ascoli are conceding just 1.1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.1/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Hellas Verona at 57% — final result was Ascoli win, Hellas Verona 1-2 Ascoli.
Predicted score was 1-0.
This was a high confidence pick (92/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Hellas Verona have averaged 0.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Ascoli have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 5 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 5 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 |  Hellas Verona | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 2 |  Ascoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | W |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
M. Di Loreto
Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Hellas Verona
Ascoli
More Serie B predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Hellas Verona vs Ascoli?+
Our AI model favors Hellas Verona to win, with a 57% probability (Draw 27%, Ascoli 16%).
What time does Hellas Verona vs Ascoli kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 5:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).