Hellas Verona vs Virtus Entella

Coppa Italia· Round of 64
Hellas Verona
22After Penalties
Virtus Entella
LDLLGoals 4-12
LWLLGoals 8-11
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 16'B. Guiu (A. Franzoni)
  2. 20'Mattia Compagnon (D. Livramento)
  3. 36'Amin Sarr (Domagoj Bradarić)
  4. 43'N. Squizzato
  5. 44'S. Di Mario
  6. 58'T. Annoni (Lucas Martello)
  7. 58'T. Annoni (L. Benedetti)
  8. 59'N. Squizzato (Lucas Martello)
  9. 65'Abdou Harroui (L. Bega)
  10. 65'Amin Sarr (Samuele Mulattieri)
  11. 65'D. Livramento (Kacper Sezonienko)
  12. 71'S. Di Mario (M. Tirelli)
  13. 78'Francesco Forte (G. Corona)
  14. 78'L. Parodi (N. Previtali)
  15. 81'Domagoj Bradarić (N. Tagne)
  16. 84'A. Franzoni
  17. 87'Mattia Compagnon (S. Cerbone)
  18. 89'N. Previtali
  19. 120+1'Lucas Martello
  20. 120+1'Samuele Mulattieri
  21. 120+2'B. Guiu
  22. 120+2'Grigoris Kastanos
  23. 120+3'A. Franzoni
  24. 120+3'Antoine Bernede
  25. 120+4'G. Corona
  26. 120+4'Andrias Edmundsson
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Hellas VeronaVirtus Entella
0.4
Goals/game
0.8
1.2
Conceded/game
1.1

AI match analysis

Hellas Verona win
56%
Draw
25%
Virtus Entella win
19%
33.4%BTTS
25.6%Over 2.5
36.8%Hellas Verona clean sheet
47.2%Virtus Entella clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-0

Data suggests that while Hellas Verona has struggled recently, they remain unbeaten against Virtus Entella in their last two encounters. With both teams averaging similar goals conceded, the numbers favor a narrow win for the home side.

  • Hellas Verona unbeaten in last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 losses)
  • Virtus Entella has scored only 0.9 goals per game on average in last 10 matches
  • Historically, Hellas Verona won both of the last two meetings against Virtus Entella
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
79/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Hellas Verona

  • Historical edgeHellas Verona

    Hellas Verona have won 2 of the last 2 meetings between these two teams.

    2/2 H2H wins
  • Poor recent formHellas Verona

    Hellas Verona have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    0W 2D 3L
  • Poor recent formVirtus Entella

    Virtus Entella have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Sharper attackVirtus Entella

    Virtus Entella are averaging 0.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    0.8/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Hellas Verona at 56% — final result was a draw, Hellas Verona 2-2 Virtus Entella.

Predicted score was 1-0.

This was a high confidence pick (79/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Hellas Verona1.75market 57.1% · model 56%
Draw3.54market 28.2% · model 25%
Virtus Entella4.66market 21.5% · model 19%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Hellas Verona have averaged 0.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Virtus Entella have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

2Hellas Verona wins
0Draws
0Virtus Entella wins
3-1Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Hellas Verona1.75best 1.83
Draw3.54best 3.80
Virtus Entella4.66best 5.25

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.03best 2.11
Under 2.51.76best 1.82

Both teams to score

Yes1.89best 1.95
No1.82best 1.87

Double chance

Hellas Verona/Draw1.16best 1.20
Hellas Verona/Virtus Entella1.26best 1.30
Draw/Virtus Entella2.02best 2.15

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.17best 2.25
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.62best 1.67
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.17best 1.18
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.50best 4.50

Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Hellas Verona1.75 0.14
Draw3.54 0.21
Virtus Entella4.66 0.40
13 Aug16 Aug

Model vs market

Hellas Verona win+2.5pp
AI
56%
Market
53.5%
Draw-1.4pp
AI
25%
Market
26.4%
Virtus Entella win-1.1pp
AI
19%
Market
20.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

0.4Goals scored per game0.8
1.2Goals conceded per game1.1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

E. Manedo Mazzoni

3Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Hellas Verona

0-15'
0%
16-30'
25%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
25%

More Coppa Italia predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Hellas Verona vs Virtus Entella?+

Our AI model favors Hellas Verona to win, with a 56% probability (Draw 25%, Virtus Entella 19%).

What time does Hellas Verona vs Virtus Entella kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 6:45 PM (your local time, based on your device).