Hemelingen vs Hannover 96

DFB Pokal· Round of 64
Hemelingen
19Full-time
Hannover 96
WWGoals 6-0
LLLLGoals 17-15
Weserstadion

Weserstadion, Bremen · Capacity 42,100 · grass · Referee: M. Wilke

Value found

+52.8% edge

Draw

25AI fair odds
38.19Bookmaker odds
+52.8%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 5'S. Þórðarson (W. Taibi)
  2. 11'L. Gindorf (M. Neubauer)
  3. 16'Marcel Hartel (B. Tomiak)
  4. 20'S. Þórðarson
  5. 21'Benedikt Pichler (K. Oudenne)
  6. 39'L. Gindorf (Benedikt Pichler)
  7. 46'S. Þórðarson (F. Roggow)
  8. 46'W. Taibi (T. Etcibasi)
  9. 46'M. Neubauer (H. Chakroun)
  10. 53'L. Gindorf (Marcel Hartel)
  11. 54'F. Berisha (F. D. Bauhus)
  12. 54'Substitution 2 (D. Hannawald)
  13. 54'Substitution 3 (A. Genaev)
  14. 56'L. Fikaj
  15. 64'L. Gindorf (Y. Unal)
  16. 64'Marcel Hartel (B. Källman)
  17. 67'O. Uzun
  18. 80'Substitution 5 (K. Bockau)
  19. 88'Benedikt Pichler
  20. 90+1'T. Etcibasi (B. Källman)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
HemelingenHannover 96
3.0
Goals/game
1.7
0.0
Conceded/game
1.5

AI match analysis

Hemelingen win
2%
Draw
4%
Hannover 96 win
94%
51.2%BTTS
59.9%Over 2.5
42.7%Hemelingen clean sheet
10.5%Hannover 96 clean sheet

Predicted score: 0-3

Data suggests Hannover 96 is in a challenging position, currently without a win in their last five matches, while Hemelingen is coming off two convincing victories. The numbers indicate that Hemelingen has shown solid offensive form, but Hannover's defensive vulnerabilities could lead to a significant outcome. With Hannover averaging more goals conceded than scored recently, the prediction leans heavily towards an away victory.

  • Hemelingen on a 2-match winning streak
  • Hannover 96 winless in last 5 matches
  • Hannover 96 averaging 1.7 goals scored but 1.5 conceded per game in last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
79/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Hannover 96

  • Strong recent formHemelingen

    Hemelingen are unbeaten in their last 2 matches, including 2 wins.

    2W 0D 0L
  • Poor recent formHannover 96

    Hannover 96 have lost 5 of their last 5 matches.

    0W 0D 5L
  • Sharper attackHemelingen

    Hemelingen are averaging 3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    3/game
  • Tighter defenseHemelingen

    Hemelingen are conceding just 0 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • Limited recent-match sample

    Hemelingen has fewer than 5 recent matches on record, so recent-form signals here are based on a small sample.

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Hannover 96 at 94% — final result was Hannover 96 win, Hemelingen 1-9 Hannover 96.

Predicted score was 0-3.

This was a high confidence pick (79/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Hannover 961.01market 98.9% · model 94%
Draw38.19market 2.6% · model 4%
Hemelingen66.38market 1.5% · model 2%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Hemelingen have averaged 3 goals scored per game over their last 2 matches.
  • Hannover 96 have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Hemelingen66.38best 101.00
Draw38.19best 76.00
Hannover 961.01best 1.02

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.01best 1.01
Under 2.528.00best 29.00

Both teams to score

Yes2.48best 2.96
No1.48best 1.66

Double chance

Hemelingen/Draw21.75best 29.00
Hemelingen/Hannover 961.01best 1.02
Draw/Hannover 961.00best 1.01

Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Hemelingen66.38 28.38
Draw38.19 12.19
Hannover 961.01
19 Aug22 Aug

Model vs market

Hemelingen win+0.5pp
AI
2%
Market
1.5%
Draw+1.5pp
AI
4%
Market
2.5%
Hannover 96 win-2pp
AI
94%
Market
96%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

3Goals scored per game1.7
0Goals conceded per game1.5

Rolling averages based on each team's last 2 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

More DFB Pokal predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Hemelingen vs Hannover 96?+

Our AI model favors Hannover 96 to win, with a 94% probability (Draw 4%, Hemelingen 2%).

Where is Hemelingen vs Hannover 96 played?+

The match is played at Weserstadion, Bremen (capacity 42,100).

What time does Hemelingen vs Hannover 96 kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 1:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).