Herrera vs Veraguas — Liga Panameña de Fútbol

Liga Panameña de Fútbol· Apertura - 4

Herrera

2–2Full-time

Veraguas

LLLDLLGoals 4-178th in league

LDWLWDGoals 11-183rd in league

Home1W 1D 1L(3-3)

Away1W 1D 0L(3-2)

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

11'E. Gomez
23'C. Hernandez
33'D. Castillo
37'C. Hernandez
37'A. Rodriguez
38'R. Villarreal
46'A. Rodriguez (L. Villarreal)
46'F. Gomez (A. Pinzon)
46'E. Lopez (N. Zuniga)
57'J. Gonzalez (D. Tenorio)
60'C. Rivera
61'C. Rivera (J. Choy)
66'D. Tenorio
67'J. Rivera
68'J. Betegón (A. Penalba)
75'A. Pinzon (G. Torres)
80'R. Villarreal (P. Perez)
80'E. Gomez (J. Lopez)
83'J. Rivas

Lineups unavailable for this match.

HerreraVeraguas

0.4
Goals/game: 1.1; 1.7
Conceded/game: 1.8

AI match analysis

Herrera win

28%

Draw

30%

Veraguas win

42%

50.3%BTTS

45.6%Over 2.5

24.7%Herrera clean sheet

33.3%Veraguas clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The data suggests that Veraguas holds the advantage going into this match, having not lost to Herrera in their last five encounters. Herrera's recent form has seen them unable to secure a win in their last five games, increasing the challenge they face. Veraguas' stronger goal-scoring average compared to Herrera's indicates a greater likelihood of them securing a victory.

Veraguas unbeaten in last 5 head-to-head matches against Herrera
Herrera has struggled in recent matches, with no wins in their last 5 games
Veraguas has a better recent form with 2 wins in their last 3 matches
Both teams' goal averages indicate Veraguas may score more based on offensive capabilities.

AI ConfidenceHigh confidence

76/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Veraguas

Poor recent formHerrera
Herrera have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
0W 1D 4L
Sharper attackVeraguas
Veraguas are averaging 1.1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.1/game
Higher league positionVeraguas
Veraguas sit 5 places above Herrera in the table.
#3 vs #8
Tighter defenseVeraguas
Veraguas are conceding just 1.8 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.8/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 42% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Veraguas at 42% — final result was a draw, Herrera 2-2 Veraguas.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (76/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Veraguas2.09market 47.8% · model 42%

Draw ✓3.18market 31.4% · model 30%

Herrera3.19market 31.3% · model 28%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Herrera have averaged 0.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Veraguas have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Herrera wins

2Draws

3Veraguas wins

11-11Goals

Herrera

0–2Oct 12, 2025, 9:00 PM

Veraguas

4–1Jul 19, 2025, 1:30 AM

Herrera

3–0May 10, 2025, 9:00 PM

Veraguas

2–1Jan 21, 2025, 1:30 AM

Herrera

0–0Oct 20, 2024, 9:00 PM

Veraguas

0–0Jul 30, 2024, 1:30 AM

Herrera

4–3Apr 27, 2024, 9:00 PM

Veraguas

0–2Jan 21, 2024, 11:15 PM

Herrera

Odds comparison

Match winner

Herrera3.19▼best 3.55

Draw3.18▼best 3.30

Veraguas2.09▲best 2.18

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.94▼best 1.98

Under 2.51.79▲best 1.85

Both teams to score

Yes1.73▼best 1.81

No1.93▲best 2.00

Double chance

Herrera/Draw1.64▼best 1.70

Herrera/Veraguas1.27▲best 1.30

Draw/Veraguas1.28▲best 1.35

Average and best price across 10 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Herrera3.19▼ 0.04

Draw3.18▼ 0.01

Veraguas2.09▲ 0.01

14 Aug – 16 Aug

Model vs market

Herrera win-0.3pp

28%

Market

28.3%

Draw+1.5pp

30%

Market

28.5%

Veraguas win-1.2pp

42%

Market

43.2%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.