Hibernian vs Partick

League Cup· Round of 16
Hibernian
10Full-time
Partick
WDDLGoals 11-13
WDLDGoals 11-9

Value found

+12.8% edge

Partick win

5.26AI fair odds
5.94Bookmaker odds
+12.8%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 12'Owen Elding (Adam Mayor)
  2. 57'Jack Iredale
  3. 59'R. Crawford (B. Stanway)
  4. 60'D. O'Reilly (E. Ingram)
  5. 60'T. Watt (A. Samuel)
  6. 60'Nathan Lowe (M. Boyle)
  7. 61'J. McGrath (A. Suto)
  8. 61'Jack Iredale (Felix Passlack)
  9. 69'T. Letsosa (B. Dempsey)
  10. 72'B. McPherson (C. Logan)
  11. 72'P. Reading
  12. 73'Joe Newell (M. Chaiwa)
  13. 73'Owen Elding (Josh Campbell)
  14. 76'Josh Campbell
  15. 90+4'E. Ingram

Lineups

HibernianPartick
1.1
Goals/game
1.1
1.3
Conceded/game
0.9

AI match analysis

Hibernian win
62%
Draw
19%
Partick win
19%
44.2%BTTS
37.7%Over 2.5
30.1%Hibernian clean sheet
36.8%Partick clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Data suggests that Hibernian has a favorable record against Partick, remaining unbeaten in their last three encounters. Both teams are relatively low-scoring in recent weeks, with Hibernian averaging just 1.2 goals scored, while Partick's average stands at 1.3. The defensive stability of Partick, conceding only 0.9 goals per game, indicates the potential for a tightly contested match, leading to a predicted score of 1-1.

  • Hibernian unbeaten in last 3 home matches against Partick
  • Partick has drawn in 3 of their last 5 matches
  • Hibernian averages 1.74 xG per game over last 10 matches
  • Partick averages only 1.3 goals scored in their last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
86/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Hibernian

  • Historical edgeHibernian

    Hibernian have won 4 of the last 7 meetings between these two teams.

    4/7 H2H wins
  • Sharper attackPartick

    Partick are averaging 1.1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.1/game
  • Tighter defensePartick

    Partick are conceding just 0.9 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.9/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Hibernian at 62% — final result was Hibernian win, Hibernian 1-0 Partick.

Predicted score was 1-1.

This was a high confidence pick (86/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Hibernian1.47market 68% · model 62%
Draw4.23market 23.6% · model 19%
Partick5.94market 16.8% · model 19%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Hibernian have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Partick have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 7 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 7 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

4Hibernian wins
2Draws
1Partick wins
10-6Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Hibernian1.47best 1.55
Draw4.23best 4.70
Partick5.94best 6.50

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.73best 1.77
Under 2.52.02best 2.08

Both teams to score

Yes1.84best 1.91
No1.85best 1.95

Double chance

Hibernian/Draw1.11best 1.17
Hibernian/Partick1.18best 1.25
Draw/Partick2.55best 2.65

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.20best 2.20
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.62best 1.62
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes6.50best 6.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.11best 1.11

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Hibernian1.47 0.03
Draw4.23 0.04
Partick5.94 0.09
15 Aug16 Aug

Model vs market

Hibernian win-0.7pp
AI
62%
Market
62.7%
Draw-2.8pp
AI
19%
Market
21.8%
Partick win+3.5pp
AI
19%
Market
15.5%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.1Goals scored per game1.1
1.3Goals conceded per game0.9

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Hibernian

0-15'
33.3%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
33.3%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
33.3%

Partick

0-15'
0%
16-30'
100%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Hibernian vs Partick?+

Our AI model favors Hibernian to win, with a 62% probability (Draw 19%, Partick 19%).

What time does Hibernian vs Partick kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 1:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).