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HJK Helsinki vs FF Jaro

Veikkausliiga· Regular Season - 20
HJK Helsinki
3–0Full-time
FF Jaro
LWLLGoals 13-234th in league
WWLLGoals 14-2011th in league
Home6W 2D 3L(18-14)
Away0W 2D 8L(4-26)
Bolt Arena

Bolt Arena, Helsinki · Capacity 10,770 · artificial turf

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 5'A. Cicale (M. Ylitolva)
  2. 10'Mads Borchers (M. Kirilov)
  3. 48'Jesper Svenungsen Skau
  4. 60'M. Gueye (J. Kallinen)
  5. 62'R. Vikstrom (Ville Vuorinen)
  6. 63'Jim Myrevik (Aron Bjonbäck)
  7. 68'M. Kirilov (T. Pukki)
  8. 72'Abdi Mohamed Sabriye (J. Vikstrom)
  9. 72'Oliver Kass Kawo
  10. 74'Mads Borchers (S. Haarala)
  11. 74'L. Montano (K. Simojoki)
  12. 74'Pyry Mentu (Alexander Ring)
  13. 76'Abdi Mohamed Sabriye (J. Vikstrom)
  14. 78'A. Vidjeskog
  15. 79'T. Pukki (Lassi Lappalainen)
  16. 81'Fabian Östigard Ness (T. Soderstrom)
  17. 81'Oliver Kass Kawo (Valde Lofs)

Lineups

HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
4-4-24-4-2
44
44. Matej Marković
14
← 74'
14. L. Montano
3
3. Till Cissokho
5. Amara Nallo
28
28. M. Ylitolva
7
7. A. Cicale
8
← 74'
8. Pyry Mentu
32
32. Mouhamed Gueye
17
17. M. Kirilov
20
← 79'
20. T. Pukki
9
← 74'
9. Mads Borchers
11
11. H. Sjögrell
22
22. Kaius Hardén
77
← 76'
77. Abdi Mohamed Sabriye
16
16. A. Vidjeskog
8
← 81'
8. Oliver Kass Kawo
15
← 62'
15. R. Vikstrom
19
← 81'
19. Fabian Östigard Ness
4
4. Michael Ogungbaro
7. Jesper Svenungsen Skau
21
← 63'
21. Jim Myrevik
1
1. S. Vits
Joonas RantanenCoachJens Karlsson
Bench (8)
Bench (8)
HJK HelsinkiFF Jaro
1.3
Goals/game
1.4
2.3
Conceded/game
2.0

AI match analysis

HJK Helsinki win
73%
Draw
16%
FF Jaro win
11%
68.1%BTTS
67.9%Over 2.5
15.7%HJK Helsinki clean sheet
19.2%FF Jaro clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

The data suggests a strong advantage for HJK Helsinki in this matchup, as they currently sit in third place in the league compared to FF Jaro's struggle in 11th position. HJK's home form, with 5 wins out of 9 games, further emphasizes their potential dominance, especially against an away team like FF Jaro that has yet to secure a victory on the road this season. Historical head-to-head results also favor HJK, adding to the statistical backing for a home win.

  • HJK Helsinki ranked 3rd in the league, significantly higher than FF Jaro's 11th place
  • FF Jaro has not won any away matches this season, holding a record of 0W 2D 7L
  • HJK Helsinki has a solid home record of 5 wins in 9 matches this season
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors HJK Helsinki

  • Strong home recordHJK Helsinki

    HJK Helsinki have won 6 of their last 11 home matches.

    6/11 home wins
  • Weak away recordFF Jaro

    FF Jaro have won 0 of their last 10 away matches.

    0/10 away wins
  • Historical edgeHJK Helsinki

    HJK Helsinki have won 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    6/8 H2H wins
  • Higher league positionHJK Helsinki

    HJK Helsinki sit 7 places above FF Jaro in the table.

    #4 vs #11

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked HJK Helsinki at 73% — final result was HJK Helsinki win, HJK Helsinki 3-0 FF Jaro.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

HJK Helsinki ✓1.34market 74.6% · model 73%
Draw5.02market 19.9% · model 16%
FF Jaro7.31market 13.7% · model 11%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • HJK Helsinki have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • FF Jaro have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

6HJK Helsinki wins
1Draws
1FF Jaro wins
20-7Goals
HJK Helsinki
2–3Jul 2, 2025, 3:00 PM
FF Jaro
FF Jaro
0–3May 11, 2025, 1:00 PM
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
1–4Aug 31, 2014, 3:30 PM
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
0–2Jun 8, 2014, 3:30 PM
HJK Helsinki
HJK Helsinki
1–0Apr 6, 2014, 1:00 PM
FF Jaro
FF Jaro
1–5Sep 1, 2013, 3:30 PM
HJK Helsinki
HJK Helsinki
0–0Jun 24, 2013, 3:30 PM
FF Jaro
FF Jaro
2–3May 5, 2013, 3:30 PM
HJK Helsinki

Odds comparison

Match winner

HJK Helsinki1.34▲best 1.39
Draw5.02▼best 5.80
FF Jaro7.31▼best 9.20

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.44▲best 1.49
Under 2.52.62▼best 2.75

Both teams to score

Yes1.66▼best 1.70
No2.08▲best 2.20

Double chance

HJK Helsinki/Draw1.08▲best 1.11
HJK Helsinki/FF Jaro1.14▲best 1.18
Draw/FF Jaro3.00▼best 3.17

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.57▼best 1.57
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.06▲best 1.06
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes10.00▼best 10.00
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.25▲best 2.25

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

HJK Helsinki1.34▲ 0.06
Draw5.02▲ 0.02
FF Jaro7.31▼ 1.28
13 Aug – 16 Aug

Model vs market

HJK Helsinki win+4.1pp
AI
73%
Market
68.9%
Draw-2.4pp
AI
16%
Market
18.4%
FF Jaro win-1.6pp
AI
11%
Market
12.6%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
4
HJK Helsinki
211047+834WWLW
11
FF Jaro
213612-2415LLLW

Pre-match comparison

1.3Goals scored per game1.4
2.3Goals conceded per game2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

HJK Helsinki

0-15'
0%
16-30'
33.3%
31-45'
66.7%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

FF Jaro

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
100%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win HJK Helsinki vs FF Jaro?+

Our AI model favors HJK Helsinki to win, with a 73% probability (Draw 16%, FF Jaro 11%).

Where is HJK Helsinki vs FF Jaro played?+

The match is played at Bolt Arena, Helsinki (capacity 10,770).

What time does HJK Helsinki vs FF Jaro kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 1:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).