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HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek

HNL· Regular Season - 4
HNK Hajduk Split
4–0Full-time
NK Osijek
WWDWGoals 23-144th in league
LWWWGoals 12-72nd in league
Home1W 1D 0L(6-2)
Away2W 0D 1L(8-5)
Stadion Poljud

Stadion Poljud, Split · Capacity 34,448 · grass

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 9'Etnik Brruti (D. Melnjak)
  2. 32'S. Mustafic
  3. 36'A. Jakupovic (M. Heister)
  4. 46'D. Bukvic (I. Dolček)
  5. 46'S. Mikolcic (O. Petrusenko)
  6. 53'O. Petrusenko
  7. 54'M. Livaja (A. Huram)
  8. 58'M. Livaja
  9. 61'Luka Hodak
  10. 62'N. Omerovic (A. Ljatifi)
  11. 64'A. Huram (A. Sanyang)
  12. 64'Etnik Brruti (M. Soticek)
  13. 64'M. Livaja (M. Sego)
  14. 72'A. Sutalo (D. de Almeida)
  15. 72'Luka Hodak (Šimun Hrgović)
  16. 74'A. Leon (Balelo)
  17. 79'D. de Almeida
  18. 83'A. Sanyang (M. Soticek)
  19. 90'Šimun Hrgović (D. de Almeida)

Lineups

HNK Hajduk Split
NK Osijek
4-2-3-14-1-3-2
33
33. Toni Silić
17
17. D. Melnjak
5. Alec Van Hoorenbeeck
3
3. Roko Gabrić
38
← 72'
38. Luka Hodak
4
4. Adrion Pajaziti
20
20. A. del Moral
26
← 64'
26. A. Huram
19
← 64'
19. Etnik Brruti
16
← 72'
16. A. Sutalo
10
← 64'
10. M. Livaja
79
← 74'
79. A. Leon
17
← 36'
17. A. Jakupovic
11
← 62'
11. N. Omerovic
8
← 46'
8. S. Mikolcic
39
← 46'
39. D. Bukvic
23
23. Luka Vrbančić
22
22. Roko Jurišić
26
26. Luka Jelenić
49
49. Ivano Kolarik
77
77. S. Mustafic
31
31. M. Malenica
Gonzalo GarciaCoachFederico Bessone Luna
Bench (11)
Bench (12)
HNK Hajduk SplitNK Osijek
2.3
Goals/game
1.2
1.4
Conceded/game
0.7

AI match analysis

HNK Hajduk Split win
44%
Draw
25%
NK Osijek win
31%
56.5%BTTS
53.1%Over 2.5
27.3%HNK Hajduk Split clean sheet
22.3%NK Osijek clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-2

Data suggests a closely contested match between HNK Hajduk Split and NK Osijek. Hajduk, despite sitting mid-table, has shown they can score, averaging 2 goals per match, while Osijek is in strong recent form with 3 consecutive wins. The head-to-head history indicates past matches have been competitive, and both teams have recently shown some defensive weaknesses. Therefore, a high-scoring draw could be likely.

  • NK Osijek in excellent form with 3 consecutive wins
  • HNK Hajduk Split has a strong scoring average of 2 goals per game
  • Historically, the head-to-head has been competitive with varied outcomes
  • Both teams show defensive vulnerabilities, conceding over a goal per game on average.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
77/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors HNK Hajduk Split

  • Strong home recordHNK Hajduk Split

    HNK Hajduk Split have won 1 of their last 2 home matches.

    1/2 home wins
  • Strong away recordNK Osijek

    NK Osijek have won 2 of their last 3 away matches.

    2/3 away wins
  • Sharper attackHNK Hajduk Split

    HNK Hajduk Split are averaging 2.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2.3/game
  • Tighter defenseNK Osijek

    NK Osijek are conceding just 0.7 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.7/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 44% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked HNK Hajduk Split at 44% — final result was HNK Hajduk Split win, HNK Hajduk Split 4-0 NK Osijek.

Predicted score was 2-2.

This was a high confidence pick (77/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

HNK Hajduk Split ✓2.14market 46.7% · model 44%
NK Osijek3.07market 32.5% · model 31%
Draw3.45market 29% · model 25%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • HNK Hajduk Split have averaged 2.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • NK Osijek have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 1 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

5HNK Hajduk Split wins
1Draws
2NK Osijek wins
13-5Goals
HNK Hajduk Split
0–1Apr 21, 2026, 4:45 PM
NK Osijek
NK Osijek
0–2Feb 15, 2026, 4:45 PM
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Hajduk Split
2–0Nov 8, 2025, 4:45 PM
NK Osijek
NK Osijek
0–2Aug 24, 2025, 4:30 PM
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Osijek
2–0Apr 27, 2025, 2:00 PM
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Hajduk Split
4–0Feb 22, 2025, 2:00 PM
NK Osijek
NK Osijek
2–2Nov 24, 2024, 2:00 PM
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Hajduk Split
1–0Aug 31, 2024, 6:45 PM
NK Osijek

Odds comparison

Match winner

HNK Hajduk Split2.14▲best 2.32
Draw3.45▼best 3.63
NK Osijek3.07▼best 4.00

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.78▼best 1.83
Under 2.51.98best 2.06

Both teams to score

Yes1.64▼best 1.75
No2.12▲best 2.25

Double chance

HNK Hajduk Split/Draw1.32▲best 1.40
HNK Hajduk Split/NK Osijek1.26▲best 1.29
Draw/NK Osijek1.66▼best 1.91

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.33▼best 1.33
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.25▲best 3.25
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.20▲best 1.20
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.33▼best 4.33

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

HNK Hajduk Split2.14▲ 0.38
Draw3.45▼ 0.20
NK Osijek3.07▼ 0.91
20 Aug – 23 Aug

Model vs market

HNK Hajduk Split win+0.8pp
AI
44%
Market
43.2%
Draw-1.8pp
AI
25%
Market
26.8%
NK Osijek win+1pp
AI
31%
Market
30%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
4
HNK Hajduk Split
4211+47WWDL
2
NK Osijek
4301+49LWWW

Pre-match comparison

2.3Goals scored per game1.2
1.4Goals conceded per game0.7

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

HNK Hajduk Split

0-15'
28.6%
16-30'
7.1%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
14.3%
61-75'
14.3%
76-90+'
35.7%

NK Osijek

0-15'
14.3%
16-30'
14.3%
31-45'
28.6%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
14.3%
76-90+'
28.6%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek?+

Our AI model favors HNK Hajduk Split to win, with a 44% probability (Draw 25%, NK Osijek 31%).

Where is HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek played?+

The match is played at Stadion Poljud, Split (capacity 34,448).

What time does HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 7:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).