bet2837
EN

HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961

HNL· Regular Season - 4
HNK Rijeka
3–2Full-time
Istra 1961
DLLLGoals 10-105th in league
DLDWGoals 10-127th in league
Home2W 0D 0L(5-3)
Away0W 1D 1L(4-5)
Stadion HNK Rijeka

Stadion HNK Rijeka, Rijeka · Capacity 8,279 · grass

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 18'M. Nasraoui
  2. 35'N. Jankovic
  3. 42'Penalty confirmed — T. Fruk
  4. 43'J. Puljic (J. Puljic)
  5. 43'J. Puljic (J. Puljic)
  6. 53'T. Fruk (Tiago Dantas)
  7. 60'S. Vignato (B. Pavic)
  8. 60'I. Cubelic (A. Gojak)
  9. 60'S. Vignato (Branko pavic)
  10. 61'D. Doumbia (G. Albarracin)
  11. 61'N. Skafar Zuzic (V. Rozić)
  12. 61'A. Kadušić (R. Hrvatin)
  13. 62'H. Jaganjac
  14. 70'A. Mauric (D. Ahmeti)
  15. 71'H. Jaganjac
  16. 72'Anel Husić (Alfonso Barco)
  17. 72'J. Puljic (D. Adu Adjei)
  18. 78'I. Šaranić (M. Kablar)
  19. 84'N. Jankovic (M. Devetak)
  20. 90+3'E. Frederiksen (D. Ahmeti)

Lineups

HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
4-2-3-14-2-3-1
99
99. Aleksa Todorović
23
23. J. Lasickas
51
← 72'
51. Anel Husić
45
45. A. Majstorovic
22
22. A. Orec
4
← 84'
4. N. Jankovic
26
26. Tiago Dantas
19
← 60'
19. S. Vignato
10
10. T. Fruk
8
← 60'
8. I. Cubelic
21
← 72'
21. J. Puljic
94
94. H. Jaganjac
30
← 61'
30. N. Skafar Zuzic
80
← 78'
80. I. Šaranić
22
22. E. Frederiksen
8
← 70'
8. A. Mauric
88
← 61'
88. D. Doumbia
13
13. Niko Šepić
4
4. Raul Kumar
3
3. M. Nasraoui
97
← 61'
97. A. Kadušić
1
1. Franko Kolić
Matjaz KekCoachJavi Cabello
Bench (12)
Bench (12)
HNK RijekaIstra 1961
1.0
Goals/game
1.0
1.0
Conceded/game
1.2

AI match analysis

HNK Rijeka win
62.83%
Draw
21.41%
Istra 1961 win
15.76%
42.2%BTTS
35%Over 2.5
36.8%HNK Rijeka clean sheet
33.3%Istra 1961 clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-0

Data suggests HNK Rijeka has an advantage in this matchup, bolstered by a solid home performance earlier this season. Meanwhile, Istra 1961's away struggles could be a concern as they seek to improve on their recent form. Historically, matches between these two have been tightly contested, but Rijeka's current home form may tip the balance in their favor.

  • HNK Rijeka has a strong home record this season with 1 win from 1 match played.
  • Istra 1961 has struggled away from home, with no wins in their last 3 away matches.
  • Recent head-to-heads suggest a competitive matchup, often resulting in draws or narrow margins.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors HNK Rijeka

  • Strong home recordHNK Rijeka

    HNK Rijeka have won 2 of their last 2 home matches.

    2/2 home wins
  • Weak away recordIstra 1961

    Istra 1961 have won 0 of their last 2 away matches.

    0/2 away wins
  • Poor recent formHNK Rijeka

    HNK Rijeka have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 1D 3L
  • Sharper attackHNK Rijeka

    HNK Rijeka are averaging 1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked HNK Rijeka at 62.83% — final result was HNK Rijeka win, HNK Rijeka 3-2 Istra 1961.

Predicted score was 1-0.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

HNK Rijeka ✓1.45market 69.1% · model 62.83%
Draw4.26market 23.5% · model 21.41%
Istra 19616.13market 16.3% · model 15.76%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • HNK Rijeka have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Istra 1961 have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 1 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3HNK Rijeka wins
2Draws
3Istra 1961 wins
7-6Goals
Istra 1961
0–0May 17, 2026, 4:45 PM
HNK Rijeka
HNK Rijeka
0–2Mar 15, 2026, 4:45 PM
Istra 1961
Istra 1961
1–2Jan 20, 2026, 3:00 PM
HNK Rijeka
HNK Rijeka
0–0Sep 27, 2025, 2:00 PM
Istra 1961
Istra 1961
2–0Apr 19, 2025, 4:45 PM
HNK Rijeka
HNK Rijeka
0–1Feb 9, 2025, 2:00 PM
Istra 1961
Istra 1961
0–1Nov 3, 2024, 2:00 PM
HNK Rijeka
HNK Rijeka
4–0Aug 18, 2024, 7:00 PM
Istra 1961

Odds comparison

Match winner

HNK Rijeka1.45▲best 1.51
Draw4.26▼best 4.50
Istra 19616.13▼best 7.00

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.67▲best 1.76
Under 2.52.11▼best 2.15

Both teams to score

Yes1.80▼best 1.87
No1.88▲best 1.95

Double chance

HNK Rijeka/Draw1.09▲best 1.14
HNK Rijeka/Istra 19611.17▲best 1.22
Draw/Istra 19612.59▼best 2.90

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.10best 1.10
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes7.00best 7.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.67best 1.67
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.10best 2.10

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

HNK Rijeka1.45▲ 0.08
Draw4.26▼ 0.21
Istra 19616.13▼ 0.63
20 Aug – 23 Aug

Model vs market

HNK Rijeka win-0.7pp
AI
62.83%
Market
63.5%
Draw-0.2pp
AI
21.41%
Market
21.6%
Istra 1961 win+0.8pp
AI
15.76%
Market
15%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
5
HNK Rijeka
320106WLW
7
Istra 1961
4112+14LWDL

Pre-match comparison

1Goals scored per game1
1Goals conceded per game1.2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

HNK Rijeka

0-15'
50%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
50%
76-90+'
0%

Istra 1961

0-15'
0%
16-30'
20%
31-45'
40%
46-60'
20%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
20%

More HNL predictions

HNL
Aug 29, 2026, 4:30 PM
Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
15.88
X4.38
21.44
HNL
Aug 29, 2026, 7:00 PM
NK Varazdin
Rudes
11.29
X5.01
29.05
HNL
Aug 30, 2026, 6:00 PM
NK Osijek
NK Slaven Belupo
11.65
X3.77
24.58
HNL
Aug 31, 2026, 4:30 PM
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
11.41
X4.36
26.42

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961?+

Our AI model favors HNK Rijeka to win, with a 62.83% probability (Draw 21.41%, Istra 1961 15.76%).

Where is HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961 played?+

The match is played at Stadion HNK Rijeka, Rijeka (capacity 8,279).

What time does HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961 kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 4:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).