Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers
NRG Stadium
Value found
+0.3% edgeHouston Texans win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Score by quarter
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Houston Texans | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
 Los Angeles Chargers | 3 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 27 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 24-20
Data suggests that the Houston Texans are in better form, winning four of their last five matches, while the Los Angeles Chargers have struggled with three losses in their last five games. Historically, the Texans have also had the upper hand in their recent matchups against the Chargers, securing three wins in the last five encounters. The combination of these factors indicates that the Texans may have a slight edge heading into this matchup.
- Houston Texans won 4 of their last 5 matches
- Los Angeles Chargers lost 3 of their last 5 matches
- Head-to-head record favors Houston Texans with 3 wins in the last 5 matchups
Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Houston Texans
- Historical edgeHouston Texans
Houston Texans have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
4/5 H2H wins - Poor recent formHouston Texans
Houston Texans have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Poor recent formLos Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Tighter defenseHouston Texans
Houston Texans are conceding just 19.6 points per game over their recent matches.
19.6/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Houston Texans at 52% — final result was Los Angeles Chargers win, Houston Texans 7-27 Los Angeles Chargers.
Predicted score was 24-20.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (60/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Houston Texans have averaged 22.7 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Los Angeles Chargers have averaged 18.7 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Houston Texans are unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 meetings with Los Angeles Chargers.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Houston Texans | Los Angeles Chargers |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 1.96 | 1.81 |
| -1 | 1.95 | 1.86 |
| -0.5 | 1.87 | 1.85 |
| +0 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| +0.5 | 1.85 | 1.85 |
| +1 | 1.88 | 1.95 |
| +1.5 | 1.82 | 1.94 |
| +2.5 | 1.78 | 1.93 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 35 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
| 36 | 1.73 | 2.00 |
| 36.5 | 1.81 | 1.95 |
| 37 | 1.93 | 1.88 |
| 37.5 | 1.93 | 1.81 |
| 38 | 1.94 | 1.84 |
| 38.5 | 1.95 | 1.78 |
| 39 | 2.05 | 1.67 |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers?+
Our AI model favors Houston Texans to win, with a 52% probability (Los Angeles Chargers 48%).
What time does Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 14, 2026, 12:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the score by quarter in Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers?+
Houston Texans: 7-0-0-0. Los Angeles Chargers: 3-7-3-14. Final: 7-27.