IA Akranes vs FH hafnarfjordur — Úrvalsdeild

Úrvalsdeild· Regular Season - 20

IA Akranes

1–1Full-time

FH hafnarfjordur

LWLWWWGoals 22-116th in league

DWDLWLGoals 16-199th in league

Home3W 4D 3L(16-14)

Away2W 4D 4L(12-21)

Value found

+9.2% edge

FH hafnarfjordur win

3.03AI fair odds

3.31Bookmaker odds

+9.2%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

13'B. Bodvarsson
23'V. Jonsson
31'H. Haraldsson
44'E. Agnarsson (K. Halldorsson)
50'B. Jonsson
57'H. Haraldsson (S. Ellertsson)
57'S. Thorsteinsson (O. Stefansson)
64'G. Eyjolfsson (G. E. Gislason J.)
73'T. Robertsson (A. Gudmundsson)
74'G. E. Gislason J.
74'G. Gislason (S. Hjaltested)
79'M. P. Ellertsson (R. Thrastarson)
83'A. Birgisson (G. Tryggvason)
84'O. Stefansson
90+2'R. Thrastarson
90'B. Jonsson (A. Jonsson)
90'G. Unnarsson (I. Gudjonsson)

Lineups unavailable for this match.

IA AkranesFH hafnarfjordur

2.2
Goals/game: 1.6; 1.1
Conceded/game: 1.9

AI match analysis

IA Akranes win

44%

Draw

23%

FH hafnarfjordur win

33%

64.5%BTTS

66%Over 2.5

25.9%IA Akranes clean sheet

12.9%FH hafnarfjordur clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

The data suggests IA Akranes enters this match with a solid record at home and a string of recent victories, enhancing their competitive edge. Conversely, FH hafnarfjordur has struggled away this season, which may impact their performance. Additionally, historical head-to-head results indicate a balanced rivalry, providing both teams with motivation to secure points in their respective standings.

IA Akranes has a strong recent form with 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
FH hafnarfjordur's away record shows only 2 wins in 9 games this season.
Historically, the last 5 encounters have been closely contested, with FH winning 3 and IA Akranes winning 2.

AI ConfidenceHigh confidence

76/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors IA Akranes

Good recent formIA Akranes
IA Akranes have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L
Poor recent formFH hafnarfjordur
FH hafnarfjordur have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L
Sharper attackIA Akranes
IA Akranes are averaging 2.2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.2/game
Tighter defenseIA Akranes
IA Akranes are conceding just 1.1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.1/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 44% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked IA Akranes at 44% — final result was a draw, IA Akranes 1-1 FH hafnarfjordur.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (76/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

IA Akranes1.91market 52.3% · model 44%

FH hafnarfjordur3.31market 30.2% · model 33%

Draw ✓3.63market 27.6% · model 23%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

IA Akranes have averaged 2.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
FH hafnarfjordur have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1IA Akranes wins

1Draws

6FH hafnarfjordur wins

8-26Goals

FH hafnarfjordur

3–2Aug 11, 2025, 7:15 PM

IA Akranes

1–3May 19, 2025, 7:15 PM

FH hafnarfjordur

1–2Oct 29, 2022, 1:00 PM

IA Akranes

FH hafnarfjordur

6–1Sep 11, 2022, 2:00 PM

IA Akranes

1–1Jun 21, 2022, 7:15 PM

FH hafnarfjordur

IA Akranes

0–3Jul 25, 2021, 5:00 PM

FH hafnarfjordur

5–1May 13, 2021, 7:15 PM

IA Akranes

0–4Oct 4, 2020, 2:00 PM

FH hafnarfjordur

Odds comparison

Match winner

IA Akranes1.91▼best 2.00

Draw3.63▼best 3.78

FH hafnarfjordur3.31▲best 3.61

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.39▲best 1.47

Under 2.52.69▼best 3.25

Both teams to score

Yes1.38▲best 1.44

No2.72▼best 3.00

Double chance

IA Akranes/Draw1.28▼best 1.36

IA Akranes/FH hafnarfjordur1.21▲best 1.25

Draw/FH hafnarfjordur1.78▲best 1.93

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.28▲best 1.28

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.50▼best 3.50

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.12▲best 1.12

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes5.50▼best 5.50

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

IA Akranes1.91▼ 0.07

Draw3.63▼ 0.22

FH hafnarfjordur3.31▲ 0.24

20 Aug – 23 Aug

Model vs market

IA Akranes win-3.5pp

44%

Market

47.5%

Draw-2pp

23%

Market

25%

FH hafnarfjordur win+5.6pp

33%

Market

27.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.