IF Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK FK

Allsvenskan· Regular Season - 17
LWWDGoals 12-185th in league
WWWDGoals 23-58th in league
Home4W 3D 2L(14-9)
Away4W 1D 4L(10-20)
Borås Arena

Borås Arena, Borås · Capacity 16,899 · artificial turf · Referee: O. Johnson

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 19'J. Magnússon (Momoh Ibrahim Kamara)
  2. 43'M. Baggesen
  3. 46'B. Lendambi (A. Saidi)
  4. 46'M. Baggesen (J. Karlsson)
  5. 46'K. Gunnarsson (J. Magnusson)
  6. 65'J. Magnússon
  7. 71'Momoh Ibrahim Kamara (N. Hult)
  8. 75'J. Karlsson
  9. 77'Momoh Ibrahim Kamara (J. Beck)
  10. 78'Simon Olsson (O. Nordvall)
  11. 79'H. Magnusson
  12. 83'N. Hult (R. Wikström)
  13. 83'Taonsa Axel (M. Abdi)
  14. 83'Momoh Ibrahim Kamara (A. Sigurpálsson)
  15. 83'J. Magnússon (S. Hedlund)
  16. 86'S. Holmén (R. Mohammed)
  17. 86'M. Keita (Victor Wernersson)

Lineups

IF ElfsborgVasteras SK FK
1.2
Goals/game
2.3
1.8
Conceded/game
0.5

AI match analysis

IF Elfsborg win
56%
Draw
23%
Vasteras SK FK win
21%
49.9%BTTS
55.4%Over 2.5
12.9%IF Elfsborg clean sheet
42.7%Vasteras SK FK clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-0

Data suggests that IF Elfsborg has had a historically favorable record against Vasteras SK FK, winning their last two encounters. However, both teams are struggling with inconsistent recent performances, particularly Elfsborg, who has lost four of their last five matches. Vasteras SK FK's away form indicates vulnerabilities, which could play a role in this matchup.

  • IF Elfsborg unbeaten in last 2 matchups against Vasteras SK FK
  • Vasteras SK FK's away form has seen 1 win in last 5 matches
  • IF Elfsborg's recent form has been poor, with 4 losses in last 5 games
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
94/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors IF Elfsborg

  • Historical edgeIF Elfsborg

    IF Elfsborg have won 2 of the last 2 meetings between these two teams.

    2/2 H2H wins
  • Tighter defenseVasteras SK FK

    Vasteras SK FK are conceding just 0.5 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.5/game conceded
  • Strong recent formVasteras SK FK

    Vasteras SK FK are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 4 wins.

    4W 1D 0L
  • Strong home recordIF Elfsborg

    IF Elfsborg have won 4 of their last 9 home matches.

    4/9 home wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked IF Elfsborg at 56% — final result was IF Elfsborg win, IF Elfsborg 3-0 Vasteras SK FK.

Predicted score was 1-0.

This was a high confidence pick (94/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

IF Elfsborg1.71market 58.6% · model 56%
Draw3.81market 26.3% · model 23%
Vasteras SK FK4.45market 22.5% · model 21%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • IF Elfsborg have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Vasteras SK FK have averaged 2.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

2IF Elfsborg wins
0Draws
0Vasteras SK FK wins
2-0Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

IF Elfsborg1.71best 1.86
Draw3.81best 4.10
Vasteras SK FK4.45best 4.75

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.69best 1.75
Under 2.52.11best 2.19

Both teams to score

Yes1.66best 1.70
No2.09best 2.15

Double chance

IF Elfsborg/Draw1.18best 1.23
IF Elfsborg/Vasteras SK FK1.23best 1.25
Draw/Vasteras SK FK2.09best 2.22

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes5.50best 5.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.14best 1.14
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.40best 1.40
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.75best 2.75

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

IF Elfsborg1.71 0.20
Draw3.81 0.26
Vasteras SK FK4.45 0.71
11 Aug14 Aug

Model vs market

IF Elfsborg win+1.4pp
AI
56%
Market
54.6%
Draw-1.5pp
AI
23%
Market
24.5%
Vasteras SK FK win+0.1pp
AI
21%
Market
20.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
5
IF Elfsborg
18774+628WWWL
8
Vasteras SK FK
18756-726LWLW

Pre-match comparison

1.2Goals scored per game2.3
1.8Goals conceded per game0.5

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

O. Johnson

4.78Yellow cards / game
0.11Red cards / game
0.11Penalties scored / game

Based on 9 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

IF Elfsborg

0-15'
0%
16-30'
50%
31-45'
16.7%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
33.3%

Vasteras SK FK

0-15'
0%
16-30'
33.3%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
33.3%
76-90+'
0%

More Allsvenskan predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win IF Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK FK?+

Our AI model favors IF Elfsborg to win, with a 56% probability (Draw 23%, Vasteras SK FK 21%).

Where is IF Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK FK played?+

The match is played at Borås Arena, Borås (capacity 16,899).

What time does IF Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK FK kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 14, 2026, 5:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).