IFK Goteborg vs IF Elfsborg
Match events
- 31'Tobias Heintz
- 37'Simon Olsson
- 57'Simon Olsson (S. Hedlund)
- 58'R. Wikström
- 62'J. Beck
- 63'Sam Larsson
- 70'Hjörtur Hermannsson
- 73'O. Nordvall (A. Sigurpálsson)
- 82'Tobias Heintz (A. Boren)
- 85'Arbër Zeneli (F. Ihler)
- 85'R. Wikström (R. Mohammed)
- 88'A. Bergmark-Wiberg (I. Seidu)
- 90'L. Ostman
Lineups
- 1.2
- Goals/game
- 1.4
- 1.1
- Conceded/game
- 1.7
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
The numbers suggest a competitive matchup, with both teams showing potential for a stalemate. IFK Goteborg's home form has been inconsistent, while IF Elfsborg has had better overall results recently. Historical head-to-head stats favor Elfsborg, but Goteborg's recent improvements could balance the equation. A predicted draw seems plausible given the margins.
- IFK Goteborg's home record is 3W 2D 3L this season
- IF Elfsborg has won 4 of the last 5 encounters against IFK Goteborg
- IFK Goteborg has an average goal deficit of 0.1 in their last 10 matches
- Elfsborg's recent away form includes 3 wins out of 8 matches
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors IFK Goteborg
- Historical edgeIF Elfsborg
IF Elfsborg have won 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
6/8 H2H wins - Higher league positionIF Elfsborg
IF Elfsborg sit 7 places above IFK Goteborg in the table.
#5 vs #12 - Tighter defenseIFK Goteborg
IFK Goteborg are conceding just 1.1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.1/game conceded - Good recent formIF Elfsborg
IF Elfsborg have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 36% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked IFK Goteborg at 36% — final result was a draw, IFK Goteborg 1-1 IF Elfsborg.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (66/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- IFK Goteborg have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- IF Elfsborg have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
IF Elfsborg
IFK GoteborgIFK GoteborgIF ElfsborgIF ElfsborgIFK GoteborgIFK GoteborgIF ElfsborgIFK GoteborgIF ElfsborgIF ElfsborgIFK GoteborgIFK GoteborgIF ElfsborgIF ElfsborgIFK GoteborgOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | IFK Goteborg | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | -16 | 20 | LWWL |
| 5 | IF Elfsborg | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | +6 | 28 | WWWL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
M. Al-Hakim
Based on 2 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
IFK Goteborg
IF Elfsborg
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Who is likely to win IFK Goteborg vs IF Elfsborg?+
Our AI model favors IFK Goteborg to win, with a 36% probability (Draw 28%, IF Elfsborg 36%).
What time does IFK Goteborg vs IF Elfsborg kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 12:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).