IFK Norrkoping vs Falkenbergs FF

Superettan· Regular Season - 20
DWWWGoals 12-151st in league
WDWLGoals 18-122nd in league
Home7W 1D 2L(22-6)
Away5W 2D 3L(23-18)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 32'C. Nyman (N. Sernelius)
  2. 43'C. Nyman (R. Nelson)
  3. 57'M. Neffati
  4. 65'H. Kallstrom (W. Videhult)
  5. 65'O. Lindberg (L. Beqiri)
  6. 65'L. Borgström (N. Bertilsson)
  7. 66'G. Aguda (A. Rupia-Ellis)
  8. 76'V. O. Falth (A. Bronner)
  9. 76'V. Christiansson (Alexander Fransson)
  10. 76'R. Nelson (T. Prica)
  11. 82'E. Mohammad (L. Sangare)
  12. 85'A. Rupia-Ellis (N. Hansson)
  13. 88'A. Eriksson
  14. 90+1'N. Sernelius (F. Holst-Larsen)
  15. 90+1'C. Nyman (Filip Dagerstål)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
IFK NorrkopingFalkenbergs FF
1.2
Goals/game
1.8
1.5
Conceded/game
1.2

AI match analysis

IFK Norrkoping win
60.89%
Draw
21.49%
Falkenbergs FF win
17.62%
56.5%BTTS
54.2%Over 2.5
19.2%IFK Norrkoping clean sheet
30.1%Falkenbergs FF clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

The data suggests that IFK Norrkoping, currently leading the league and in excellent form with five consecutive wins, is favored in this matchup. Falkenbergs FF, while second in the standings, has shown inconsistency, winning only two of their last five matches. In head-to-head history, Norrkoping has had significant success against Falkenbergs, further tipping the balance in their favor for this encounter.

  • IFK Norrkoping ranks 1st with recent form of 5 wins in last 5 matches
  • Falkenbergs FF ranks 2nd but has fluctuating performance with only 2 wins in last 5 matches
  • Historically, IFK Norrkoping has dominated their recent encounters, winning 4 out of the last 5 against Falkenbergs FF
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors IFK Norrkoping

  • Historical edgeIFK Norrkoping

    IFK Norrkoping have won 4 of the last 6 meetings between these two teams.

    4/6 H2H wins
  • Sharper attackFalkenbergs FF

    Falkenbergs FF are averaging 1.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.8/game
  • Good recent formIFK Norrkoping

    IFK Norrkoping have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L
  • Strong home recordIFK Norrkoping

    IFK Norrkoping have won 7 of their last 10 home matches.

    7/10 home wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pick✓ Exact score

We picked IFK Norrkoping at 60.89% — final result was IFK Norrkoping win, IFK Norrkoping 2-1 Falkenbergs FF.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

IFK Norrkoping1.53market 65.5% · model 60.89%
Draw4.18market 23.9% · model 21.49%
Falkenbergs FF5.25market 19.1% · model 17.62%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • IFK Norrkoping have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Falkenbergs FF have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of the last 6 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

4IFK Norrkoping wins
1Draws
1Falkenbergs FF wins
16-10Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

IFK Norrkoping1.53best 1.57
Draw4.18best 4.49
Falkenbergs FF5.25best 6.00

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.52best 1.57
Under 2.52.38best 2.55

Both teams to score

Yes1.59best 1.67
No2.20best 2.35

Double chance

IFK Norrkoping/Draw1.14best 1.17
IFK Norrkoping/Falkenbergs FF1.19best 1.22
Draw/Falkenbergs FF2.37best 2.50

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.62best 2.62
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes7.00best 7.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.10best 1.10
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.44best 1.44

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

IFK Norrkoping1.53 0.02
Draw4.18 0.18
Falkenbergs FF5.25 0.28
21 Aug24 Aug

Model vs market

IFK Norrkoping win+0.5pp
AI
60.89%
Market
60.4%
Draw-0.5pp
AI
21.49%
Market
22%
Falkenbergs FF win0pp
AI
17.62%
Market
17.6%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
1
IFK Norrkoping
201424+2644WWWW
2
Falkenbergs FF
201055+835WDLW

Pre-match comparison

1.2Goals scored per game1.8
1.5Goals conceded per game1.2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

J. Svraka

3.33Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 3 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

IFK Norrkoping

0-15'
22.2%
16-30'
11.1%
31-45'
22.2%
46-60'
11.1%
61-75'
22.2%
76-90+'
11.1%

Falkenbergs FF

0-15'
25%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
25%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
50%

More Superettan predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win IFK Norrkoping vs Falkenbergs FF?+

Our AI model favors IFK Norrkoping to win, with a 60.89% probability (Draw 21.49%, Falkenbergs FF 17.62%).

What time does IFK Norrkoping vs Falkenbergs FF kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 24, 2026, 5:05 PM (your local time, based on your device).