Independiente de La Chorrera vs Union Cocle
Match events
- 15'J. Gonzalez
- 21'O. Berrocal
- 46'D. Contreras (J. Gonzalez)
- 46'A. Rodríguez (G. Negrete)
- 46'A. Valverde (J. Giron)
- 51'J. Giron
- 54'V. Gomez
- 60'J. Munoz (Y. Castillo)
- 60'M. Lopez (Y. Vasquez)
- 60'Martin Moran (V. Gomez)
- 63'Martin Moran (V. Gomez)
- 80'E. Girón
- 1.6
- Goals/game
- 0.5
- 1.1
- Conceded/game
- 1.0
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
Data suggests a closely contested match between Independiente de La Chorrera and Union Cocle, as both teams struggle to secure wins early in the season. Independiente remains winless at home while Union Cocle has a disappointing away record. The scoring averages indicate low expectations for offensive output, leading to a likely draw.
- Independiente de La Chorrera has not won at home yet this season.
- Union Cocle's away form is poor with one draw and one loss.
- Both teams have conceded similar goals per game averages in recent matches.
Confidence is low because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Union Cocle
- Sharper attackIndependiente de La Chorrera
Independiente de La Chorrera are averaging 1.6 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.6/game - Tighter defenseUnion Cocle
Union Cocle are conceding just 1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1/game conceded - Higher league positionUnion Cocle
Union Cocle sit 1 place above Independiente de La Chorrera in the table.
#5 vs #6
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Below-average model confidence
Overall model confidence for this match is 42/100 — treat the prediction as directional rather than decisive.
- Limited recent-match sample
Union Cocle has fewer than 5 recent matches on record, so recent-form signals here are based on a small sample.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 34% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Union Cocle at 34% — final result was Independiente de La Chorrera win, Independiente de La Chorrera 3-0 Union Cocle.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself flagged this as a low confidence pick (42/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Match trends
- Independiente de La Chorrera have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Union Cocle have averaged 0.5 goals scored per game over their last 2 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |  Independiente de La Chorrera | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 6 | LDDD |
| 5 |  Union Cocle | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 23 | DWLD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 2 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Independiente de La Chorrera
Union Cocle
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Alianza FCFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Independiente de La Chorrera vs Union Cocle?+
Our AI model favors Union Cocle to win, with a 34% probability (Draw 33%, Independiente de La Chorrera 33%).
What time does Independiente de La Chorrera vs Union Cocle kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 11:15 PM (your local time, based on your device).