Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC
Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito · Capacity 12,600 · grass
Match events
- 14'H. Quintana (Ronald Briones)
- 24'Ayrton Cisneros
- 45+4'C. González (Juan Riquelme Angulo)
- 45'Franco Ayunta (Jonathan Morocho)
- 46'H. Quintana (Junior Sornoza)
- 46'A. Alvarez (Gerónimo Heredia)
- 46'B. Hernández (Carlos Carreno)
- 46'Emerson Pata (Arón Rodríguez)
- 50'C. González (Djorkaeff Reasco)
- 60'Danny Luna (Jefferson Arce)
- 63'Jordy Alcivar (Jhegson Méndez)
- 67'Jefferson Arce (Jonathan Morocho)
- 74'Jonathan Morocho
- 76'Juan Riquelme Angulo (Matías Perello)
- 80'Daykol Romero
- 80'Thiago Ozaeta
- 83'Thiago Ozaeta (Franco Perinciolo)
- 90+4'Junior Sornoza
Lineups
- 1.0
- Goals/game
- 0.4
- 0.7
- Conceded/game
- 1.6
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-0
The data suggests Independiente del Valle is in exceptional form, registering a five-match unbeaten streak and maintaining a solid home record. In contrast, Delfin SC struggles, particularly on the road with only one win this season, which heavily influences the predicted outcome. Historically, their recent head-to-head matches have featured low scoring, yet the disparity in current performances indicates a likely win for the home team.
- Independiente del Valle unbeaten in last 5 matches
- Delfin SC has only 1 away win this season
- Independiente del Valle holds strong home record with 9 wins out of 12
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Independiente del Valle
- Higher league positionIndependiente del Valle
Independiente del Valle sit 14 places above Delfin SC in the table.
#1 vs #15 - Strong recent formIndependiente del Valle
Independiente del Valle are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 5 wins.
5W 0D 0L - Strong home recordIndependiente del Valle
Independiente del Valle have won 10 of their last 13 home matches.
10/13 home wins - Weak away recordDelfin SC
Delfin SC have won 1 of their last 13 away matches.
1/13 away wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Independiente del Valle at 79.2% — final result was Independiente del Valle win, Independiente del Valle 3-2 Delfin SC.
Predicted score was 2-0.
This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Independiente del Valle have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Delfin SC have averaged 0.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 2 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Independiente del Valle
Delfin SCDelfin SCIndependiente del ValleIndependiente del ValleDelfin SCDelfin SCIndependiente del ValleDelfin SCIndependiente del ValleIndependiente del ValleDelfin SCIndependiente del ValleDelfin SCDelfin SCIndependiente del ValleOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 26 | 22 | 1 | 3 | +38 | 67 | WWWW |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 24 | LDLL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Independiente del Valle
Delfin SC
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LDU de QuitoFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC?+
Our AI model favors Independiente del Valle to win, with a 79.2% probability (Draw 14%, Delfin SC 6.8%).
Where is Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC played?+
The match is played at Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito (capacity 12,600).
What time does Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).