Independiente del Valle vs Gualaceo SC

Copa Ecuador· Quarter-finals
WWWWGoals 16-8
WLDWGoals 13-16
Kicks off in
Estadio Banco Guayaquil

Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito · Capacity 12,600 · grass

Kickoff: Aug 26, 2026, 3:00 PM (stadium time)

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time
Lineups not confirmed yet — check back closer to kickoff.
Independiente del ValleGualaceo SC
1.6
Goals/game
1.3
0.8
Conceded/game
1.6

AI match analysis

Independiente del Valle win
76%
Draw
15%
Gualaceo SC win
9%
51.9%BTTS
49.4%Over 2.5
35%Independiente del Valle clean sheet
20.2%Gualaceo SC clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-0

Data suggests a strong advantage for Independiente del Valle, who are on a solid winning streak and have historically performed well against Gualaceo SC, including a recent 6-0 victory. Meanwhile, Gualaceo SC's defense has struggled, conceding significantly more than they have scored in their recent form. The numbers favor a likely home win, with a predicted score of 2-0.

  • Independiente del Valle unbeaten in last 5 matches
  • Gualaceo SC has conceded 6 goals in their last match against Independiente del Valle
  • Independiente del Valle averages 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded in their last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
86/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Independiente del Valle

  • Historical edgeIndependiente del Valle

    Independiente del Valle have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    5/5 H2H wins
  • Strong recent formIndependiente del Valle

    Independiente del Valle are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 5 wins.

    5W 0D 0L
  • Good recent formGualaceo SC

    Gualaceo SC have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L
  • Tighter defenseIndependiente del Valle

    Independiente del Valle are conceding just 0.8 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.8/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • Lineups not confirmed

    Starting lineups aren't confirmed yet and could materially affect this prediction once they land.

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

Match trends

  • Independiente del Valle have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Gualaceo SC have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of the last 5 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

5Independiente del Valle wins
0Draws
0Gualaceo SC wins
15-2Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Independiente del Valle1.21best 1.22
Draw6.28best 6.30
Gualaceo SC10.00best 10.50

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.28best 1.28
Under 2.53.40best 3.50

Both teams to score

Yes1.60best 1.60
No2.22best 2.22

Double chance

Independiente del Valle/Draw1.02best 1.03
Independiente del Valle/Gualaceo SC1.08best 1.08
Draw/Gualaceo SC3.83best 3.90

Average and best price across 2 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Independiente del Valle1.21 0.01
Draw6.28 0.22
Gualaceo SC10.00 0.20
24 Aug24 Aug

Model vs market

Independiente del Valle win-0.1pp
AI
76%
Market
76.1%
Draw+0.3pp
AI
15%
Market
14.7%
Gualaceo SC win-0.2pp
AI
9%
Market
9.2%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.6Goals scored per game1.3
0.8Goals conceded per game1.6

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Independiente del Valle

0-15'
33.3%
16-30'
11.1%
31-45'
11.1%
46-60'
11.1%
61-75'
11.1%
76-90+'
22.2%

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Independiente del Valle vs Gualaceo SC?+

Our AI model favors Independiente del Valle to win, with a 76% probability (Draw 15%, Gualaceo SC 9%).

Where is Independiente del Valle vs Gualaceo SC played?+

The match is played at Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito (capacity 12,600).

What time does Independiente del Valle vs Gualaceo SC kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 26, 2026, 8:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).